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1989 - 2009年美国脑膜炎球菌病与流感的关联

The association of meningococcal disease with influenza in the United States, 1989-2009.

作者信息

Jacobs Jessica Hartman, Viboud Cécile, Tchetgen Eric Tchetgen, Schwartz Joel, Steiner Claudia, Simonsen Lone, Lipsitch Marc

机构信息

Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2014 Sep 29;9(9):e107486. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0107486. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE AND OBJECTIVE

Prior influenza infection is a risk factor for invasive meningococcal disease. Quantifying the fraction of meningococcal disease attributable to influenza could improve understanding of viral-bacterial interaction and indicate additional health benefits to influenza immunization.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A time series analysis of the association of influenza and meningococcal disease using hospitalizations in 9 states from 1989-2009 included in the State Inpatient Databases from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and the proportion of positive influenza tests by subtype reported to the Centers for Disease Control. The model accounts for the autocorrelation of meningococcal disease and influenza between weeks, temporal trends, co-circulating respiratory syncytial virus, and seasonality. The influenza-subtype-attributable fraction was estimated using the model coefficients. We analyzed the synchrony of seasonal peaks in hospitalizations for influenza, respiratory syncytial virus, and meningococcal disease.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

In 19 of 20 seasons, influenza peaked≤2 weeks before meningococcal disease, and peaks were highly correlated in time (ρ = 0.95; P <.001). H3N2 and H1N1 peaks were highly synchronized with meningococcal disease while pandemic H1N1, B, and respiratory syncytial virus were not. Over 20 years, 12.8% (95% CI, 9.1-15.0) of meningococcal disease can be attributable to influenza in the preceding weeks with H3N2 accounting for 5.2% (95% CI, 3.0-6.5), H1N1 4.3% (95% CI, 2.6-5.6), B 3.0% (95% CI, 0.8-4.9) and pH1N1 0.2% (95% CI, 0-0.4). During the height of influenza season, weekly attributable fractions reach 59%. While vaccination against meningococcal disease is the most important prevention strategy, influenza vaccination could provide further protection, particularly in young children where the meningococcal disease vaccine is not recommended or protective against the most common serogroup.

摘要

重要性与目标

既往流感感染是侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病的一个风险因素。量化可归因于流感的脑膜炎球菌病比例,有助于增进对病毒 - 细菌相互作用的理解,并表明流感疫苗接种带来的额外健康益处。

设计、背景与参与者:利用医疗保健研究与质量局的州住院数据库中1989 - 2009年9个州的住院数据以及向疾病控制中心报告的各亚型流感检测阳性比例,对流感与脑膜炎球菌病的关联进行时间序列分析。该模型考虑了脑膜炎球菌病和流感在各周之间的自相关性、时间趋势、共同流行的呼吸道合胞病毒以及季节性。使用模型系数估计流感亚型可归因比例。我们分析了流感、呼吸道合胞病毒和脑膜炎球菌病住院季节性高峰的同步性。

结果与结论

在20个季节中的19个,流感高峰比脑膜炎球菌病高峰提前≤2周出现,且高峰在时间上高度相关(ρ = 0.95;P <.001)。H3N2和H1N1高峰与脑膜炎球菌病高度同步,而大流行性H1N1、B型流感和呼吸道合胞病毒则不然。20年间,12.8%(95%置信区间,9.1 - 15.0)的脑膜炎球菌病可归因于前几周的流感,其中H3N2占5.2%(95%置信区间,3.0 - 6.5),H1N1占4.3%(95%置信区间,2.6 - 5.6),B型流感占3.0%(95%置信区间,0.8 - 4.9),大流行性H1N1占0.2%(95%置信区间,0 - 0.4)。在流感季节高峰期,每周可归因比例达到59%。虽然接种脑膜炎球菌病疫苗是最重要的预防策略,但流感疫苗接种可提供进一步保护,尤其是在不推荐接种脑膜炎球菌病疫苗或该疫苗对最常见血清群无保护作用的幼儿中。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c868/4180274/e3482f2d21e0/pone.0107486.g001.jpg

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