Shih Chia-Jen, Chen Yung-Tai, Ou Shuo-Ming, Yang Wu-Chang, Kuo Shu-Chen, Tarng Der-Cherng
Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Yuanshan Branch, Yilan, Taiwan.
School of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan.
BMC Med. 2014 Oct 6;12:169. doi: 10.1186/s12916-014-0169-3.
Older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) face the decision of whether to undergo dialysis. Currently available data on this issue are limited because they were generated by small, short-term studies with statistical drawbacks. Further research is urgently needed to provide objective information for dialysis decision making in older patients with advanced CKD.
This nationwide population-based cohort study was conducted using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. Data from 2000 to 2010 were extracted. A total of 8,341 patients≥70 years old with advanced CKD and serum creatinine levels>6 mg/dl, who had been treated with erythropoiesis-stimulating agents were included. Cox proportional hazard models in which initiation of chronic dialysis was defined as the time-dependent covariate were used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios for mortality. The endpoint was all-cause mortality.
During a median follow-up period of 2.7 years, 6,292 (75.4%) older patients chose dialysis therapy and 2,049 (24.6%) received conservative care. Dialysis was initiated to treat kidney failure a median of 6.4 months after enrollment. Dialysis was associated with a 1.4-fold increased risk of mortality compared with conservative care (adjusted hazard ratio 1.39, 95% confidence interval 1.30 to 1.49). In subgroup analyses, the risk of mortality remained consistently increased, independent of age, sex and comorbidities.
In older patients, dialysis may be associated with increased mortality risk and healthcare cost compared with conservative care. For patients who are ≥70 years old with advanced CKD, decision making about whether to undergo dialysis should be weighted by consideration of risks and benefits.
老年晚期慢性肾脏病(CKD)患者面临是否接受透析的抉择。目前关于此问题的可用数据有限,因为这些数据来自规模小、存在统计学缺陷的短期研究。迫切需要进一步研究,为老年晚期CKD患者的透析决策提供客观信息。
本全国性基于人群的队列研究使用了台湾地区的全民健康保险研究数据库。提取了2000年至2010年的数据。纳入了8341例年龄≥70岁、患有晚期CKD且血清肌酐水平>6mg/dl并接受过促红细胞生成素治疗的患者。使用将开始慢性透析定义为时间依赖性协变量的Cox比例风险模型来计算调整后的死亡风险比。终点为全因死亡率。
在中位随访期2.7年期间,6292例(75.4%)老年患者选择了透析治疗,2049例(24.6%)接受了保守治疗。透析开始于入组后中位6.4个月,用于治疗肾衰竭。与保守治疗相比,透析使死亡风险增加了1.4倍(调整后的风险比为1.39,95%置信区间为1.30至1.49)。在亚组分析中,无论年龄、性别和合并症如何,死亡风险持续增加。
在老年患者中,与保守治疗相比,透析可能与更高的死亡风险和医疗成本相关。对于年龄≥70岁的晚期CKD患者,是否接受透析的决策应权衡风险和益处。