Pufall Erica L, Nyamukapa Constance, Eaton Jeffrey W, Mutsindiri Reggie, Chawira Godwin, Munyati Shungu, Robertson Laura, Gregson Simon
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, St. Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, United Kingdom.
Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, St. Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, United Kingdom; Biomedical Research and Training Institute, Avondale, Harare, Zimbabwe.
PLoS One. 2014 Nov 20;9(11):e113415. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0113415. eCollection 2014.
There are an estimated half-million children living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa. The predominant source of infection is presumed to be perinatal mother-to-child transmission, but general population data about paediatric HIV are sparse. We characterise the epidemiology of HIV in children in sub-Saharan Africa by describing the prevalence, possible source of infection, and effects of paediatric HIV in a southern African population.
From 2009 to 2011, we conducted a household-based survey of 3389 children (aged 2-14 years) in Manicaland, eastern Zimbabwe (response rate: 73.5%). Data about socio-demographic correlates of HIV, risk factors for infection, and effects on child health were analysed using multi-variable logistic regression. To assess the plausibility of mother-to-child transmission, child HIV infection was linked to maternal survival and HIV status using data from a 12-year adult HIV cohort.
HIV prevalence was (2.2%, 95% CI: 1.6-2.8%) and did not differ significantly by sex, socio-economic status, location, religion, or child age. Infected children were more likely to be underweight (19.6% versus 10.0%, p = 0.03) or stunted (39.1% versus 30.6%, p = 0.04) but did not report poorer physical or psychological ill-health. Where maternal data were available, reported mothers of 61/62 HIV-positive children were deceased or HIV-positive. Risk factors for other sources of infection were not associated with child HIV infection, including blood transfusion, vaccinations, caring for a sick relative, and sexual abuse. The observed flat age-pattern of HIV prevalence was consistent with UNAIDS estimates which assumes perinatal mother-to-child transmission, although modelled prevalence was higher than observed prevalence. Only 19/73 HIV-positive children (26.0%) were diagnosed, but, of these, 17 were on antiretroviral therapy.
Childhood HIV infection likely arises predominantly from mother-to-child transmission and is associated with poorer physical development. Overall antiretroviral therapy uptake was low, with the primary barrier to treatment appearing to be lack of diagnosis.
据估计,撒哈拉以南非洲有50万儿童感染了艾滋病毒。主要感染源被认为是围产期母婴传播,但关于儿童艾滋病毒的一般人群数据稀少。我们通过描述南部非洲人群中儿童艾滋病毒的患病率、可能的感染源及影响,来阐述撒哈拉以南非洲儿童艾滋病毒的流行病学特征。
2009年至2011年,我们在津巴布韦东部马尼卡兰对3389名2至14岁儿童进行了一项基于家庭的调查(应答率:73.5%)。使用多变量逻辑回归分析了艾滋病毒的社会人口统计学相关因素、感染风险因素以及对儿童健康的影响。为评估母婴传播的合理性,利用一个为期12年的成人艾滋病毒队列的数据,将儿童艾滋病毒感染与母亲的存活情况和艾滋病毒状况联系起来。
艾滋病毒患病率为2.2%(95%置信区间:1.6 - 2.8%),在性别、社会经济地位、地点、宗教或儿童年龄方面无显著差异。感染儿童更有可能体重不足(19.6%对10.0%,p = 0.03)或发育迟缓(39.1%对30.6%,p = 0.04),但并未报告身体或心理健康状况较差。在可获取母亲数据的情况下,62名艾滋病毒呈阳性儿童中有61名儿童的母亲已去世或艾滋病毒呈阳性。包括输血、接种疫苗、照顾患病亲属和性虐待在内的其他感染源风险因素与儿童艾滋病毒感染无关。观察到的艾滋病毒患病率的年龄分布平稳模式与联合国艾滋病规划署假设围产期母婴传播的估计一致,尽管模型患病率高于观察到的患病率。73名艾滋病毒呈阳性儿童中只有19名(26.0%)被诊断出来,但其中17名正在接受抗逆转录病毒治疗。
儿童艾滋病毒感染可能主要源于母婴传播,并与较差的身体发育有关。总体而言,抗逆转录病毒治疗的接受率较低,治疗的主要障碍似乎是缺乏诊断。