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四种生长模型应用于一组从出生到9岁的美国儿童体重和身高生长数据的比较研究。

Comparative study of four growth models applied to weight and height growth data in a cohort of US children from birth to 9 years.

作者信息

Regnault Nolwenn, Gillman Matthew W, Kleinman Ken, Rifas-Shiman Sheryl, Botton Jérémie

机构信息

Obesity Prevention Program, Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School/Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Mass., USA.

出版信息

Ann Nutr Metab. 2014;65(2-3):167-74. doi: 10.1159/000365894. Epub 2014 Sep 26.

Abstract

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The objective of our study was to compare the fit of four growth models for weight and height in contemporary US children between birth and 9 years.

METHODS

In Project Viva, we collected weight and height growth data between birth and 9 years. We compared the Jenss model, the adapted Jenss model that adds a quadratic term, and the Reed 1st and 2nd order models. We used the log likelihood ratio test to compare nested models and the Akaike (AIC)/Bayesian information criterion (BIC) to compare nonnested models.

RESULTS

For weight and height, the adapted Jenss model had a better fit than the Jenss model (for weight: p < 0.0001), and the Reed 2nd order model had a better fit than the Reed 1st order model (for weight: p < 0.0001). Compared with the Reed 2nd order model, the adapted Jenss model had a better fit for both weight (adapted Jenss vs. Reed 2nd order, AIC: 66,974 vs. 82,791, BIC: 67,066 vs. 82,883) and height (adapted Jenss vs. Reed 2nd order, AIC: 87,108 vs. 87,612, BIC: 87,196 vs. 87,700).

CONCLUSIONS

In this pre-birth study of children aged 0-9 years, for both weight and height the adapted Jenss model presented the best fit of all four tested models.

摘要

背景/目的:我们研究的目的是比较当代美国0至9岁儿童体重和身高的四种生长模型的拟合度。

方法

在“活力计划”中,我们收集了0至9岁儿童体重和身高的生长数据。我们比较了延斯模型、添加二次项的改良延斯模型以及里德一阶和二阶模型。我们使用对数似然比检验来比较嵌套模型,使用赤池信息准则(AIC)/贝叶斯信息准则(BIC)来比较非嵌套模型。

结果

对于体重和身高,改良延斯模型比延斯模型拟合度更好(体重方面:p < 0.0001),里德二阶模型比里德一阶模型拟合度更好(体重方面:p < 0.0001)。与里德二阶模型相比,改良延斯模型在体重(改良延斯模型与里德二阶模型,AIC:66,974对82,791,BIC:67,066对82,883)和身高(改良延斯模型与里德二阶模型,AIC:87,108对87,612,BIC:87,196对87,700)方面拟合度都更好。

结论

在这项针对0至9岁儿童的出生前研究中,对于体重和身高,改良延斯模型在所有四个测试模型中拟合度最佳。

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