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Global estimates of prevalent and incident herpes simplex virus type 2 infections in 2012.

作者信息

Looker Katharine J, Magaret Amalia S, Turner Katherine M E, Vickerman Peter, Gottlieb Sami L, Newman Lori M

机构信息

School of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.

Department of Laboratory Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2015 Jan 21;10(1):e114989. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0114989. eCollection 2015.


DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0114989
PMID:25608026
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4301914/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) infection causes significant disease globally. Adolescent and adult infection may present as painful genital ulcers. Neonatal infection has high morbidity and mortality. Additionally, HSV-2 likely contributes substantially to the spread of HIV infection. The global burden of HSV-2 infection was last estimated for 2003. Here we present new global estimates for 2012 of the burden of prevalent (existing) and incident (new) HSV-2 infection among females and males aged 15-49 years, using updated methodology to adjust for test performance and estimate by World Health Organization (WHO) region. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a literature review of HSV-2 prevalence studies world-wide since 2000. We then fitted a model with constant HSV-2 incidence by age to pooled HSV-2 prevalence values by age and sex. Prevalence values were adjusted for test sensitivity and specificity. The model estimated prevalence and incidence by sex for each WHO region to obtain global burden estimates. Uncertainty bounds were computed by refitting the model to reflect the variation in the underlying prevalence data. In 2012, we estimate that there were 417 million people aged 15-49 years (range: 274-678 million) living with HSV-2 infection world-wide (11.3% global prevalence), of whom 267 million were women. We also estimate that in 2012, 19.2 million (range: 13.0-28.6 million) individuals aged 15-49 years were newly-infected (0.5% of all individuals globally). The highest burden was in Africa. However, despite lower prevalence, South-East Asia and Western Pacific regions also contributed large numbers to the global totals because of large population sizes. CONCLUSIONS: The global burden of HSV-2 infection is large, leaving over 400 million people at increased risk of genital ulcer disease, HIV acquisition, and transmission of HSV-2 to partners or neonates. These estimates highlight the critical need for development of vaccines, microbicides, and other new HSV prevention strategies.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/42de92fd6e1b/pone.0114989.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/d0e41d4541ee/pone.0114989.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/9e37bbb09961/pone.0114989.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/66663c791d7c/pone.0114989.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/42de92fd6e1b/pone.0114989.g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/d0e41d4541ee/pone.0114989.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/9e37bbb09961/pone.0114989.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/66663c791d7c/pone.0114989.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c778/4301914/42de92fd6e1b/pone.0114989.g004.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
Vaccines against sexually transmitted infections: the way forward.

Vaccine. 2014-3-20

[2]
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Sex Transm Infect. 2014-3

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Lancet. 2013-11-26

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Vaccine. 2013-9-6

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Int J STD AIDS. 2013-5

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Effect of genital herpes on cervicovaginal HIV shedding in women co-infected with HIV AND HSV-2 in Tanzania.

PLoS One. 2013-3-13

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Am J Perinatol. 2013-1-9

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N Engl J Med. 2012-1-5

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J Reprod Immunol. 2011-2-5

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