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单纯疱疹病毒:2016 年全球感染流行率和发病率估计。

Herpes simplex virus: global infection prevalence and incidence estimates, 2016.

机构信息

Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, Oakfield House, Oakfield Grove, Bristol BS8 2BN, England.

Weill Cornell Medical College, Doha, Qatar.

出版信息

Bull World Health Organ. 2020 May 1;98(5):315-329. doi: 10.2471/BLT.19.237149. Epub 2020 Mar 25.


DOI:10.2471/BLT.19.237149
PMID:32514197
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7265941/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To generate global and regional estimates for the prevalence and incidence of herpes simplex virus (HSV) type 1 and type 2 infection for 2016. METHODS: To obtain data, we undertook a systematic review to identify studies up to August 2018. Adjustments were made to account for HSV test sensitivity and specificity. For each World Health Organization (WHO) region, we applied a constant incidence model to pooled prevalence by age and sex to estimate the prevalence and incidence of HSV types 1 and 2 infections. For HSV type 1, we apportioned infection by anatomical site using pooled estimates of the proportions that were oral and genital. FINDINGS: In 2016, an estimated 491.5 million people (95% uncertainty interval, UI: 430.4 million-610.6 million) were living with HSV type 2 infection, equivalent to 13.2% of the world's population aged 15-49 years. An estimated 3752.0 million people (95% UI: 3555.5 million-3854.6 million) had HSV type 1 infection at any site, equivalent to a global prevalence of 66.6% in 0-49-year-olds. Differing patterns were observed by age, sex and geographical region, with HSV type 2 prevalence being highest among women and in the WHO African Region. CONCLUSION: An estimated half a billion people had genital infection with HSV type 2 or type 1, and several billion had oral HSV type 1 infection. Millions of people may also be at higher risk of acquiring human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), particularly women in the WHO African Region who have the highest HSV type 2 prevalence and exposure to HIV.

摘要

目的:针对 2016 年单纯疱疹病毒(HSV)1 型和 2 型感染的流行率和发病率,生成全球和区域估计值。

方法:为了获取数据,我们进行了系统综述,以确定截至 2018 年 8 月的研究。对 HSV 检测的敏感性和特异性进行了调整。对于每个世界卫生组织(WHO)区域,我们应用恒发率模型,按年龄和性别对 pooled prevalence 进行分层,以估计 HSV 1 型和 2 型感染的流行率和发病率。对于 HSV 1 型,我们通过使用口腔和生殖器部位感染比例的 pooled 估计值,对解剖部位感染进行了分配。

发现:2016 年,估计有 4.915 亿人(95%不确定区间,UI:4.304 亿至 6.106 亿)患有 HSV 2 型感染,占 15-49 岁世界人口的 13.2%。估计有 37.52 亿人(95% UI:35.55 亿至 38.54 亿)在任何部位感染了 HSV 1 型,相当于 0-49 岁人群全球流行率为 66.6%。按年龄、性别和地理区域观察到不同的模式,HSV 2 型流行率在女性和 WHO 非洲区域最高。

结论:估计有 5 亿人患有生殖器 HSV 2 型或 1 型感染,数十亿人患有口腔 HSV 1 型感染。许多人可能面临更高的获得人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)的风险,特别是在 WHO 非洲区域,那里 HSV 2 型流行率最高,且接触 HIV 的机会也最高。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0cc/7265941/9483a40209fb/BLT.19.237149-F2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0cc/7265941/7f85dba7bd8a/BLT.19.237149-F1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0cc/7265941/9483a40209fb/BLT.19.237149-F2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0cc/7265941/7f85dba7bd8a/BLT.19.237149-F1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b0cc/7265941/9483a40209fb/BLT.19.237149-F2.jpg

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[8]
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[9]
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[10]
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本文引用的文献

[1]
Chlamydia, gonorrhoea, trichomoniasis and syphilis: global prevalence and incidence estimates, 2016.

Bull World Health Organ. 2019-6-6

[2]
Herpes simplex virus type 1 epidemiology in Latin America and the Caribbean: Systematic review and meta-analytics.

PLoS One. 2019-4-22

[3]
Characterizing the transitioning epidemiology of herpes simplex virus type 1 in the USA: model-based predictions.

BMC Med. 2019-3-11

[4]
Herpes simplex virus type 1 epidemiology in the Middle East and North Africa: systematic review, meta-analyses, and meta-regressions.

Sci Rep. 2019-2-4

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Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 354 diseases and injuries for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Lancet. 2018-11-8

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Clinical management of herpes simplex virus infections: past, present, and future.

F1000Res. 2018-10-31

[7]
Herpes Simplex Virus Type 1 Genital Ulcer Disease at a Tertiary Care Hospital in North India.

Clin Infect Dis. 2019-5-2

[8]
Exhaustive TORCH Pathogen Diagnostics Corroborate Zika Virus Etiology of Congenital Malformations in Northeastern Brazil.

mSphere. 2018-8-8

[9]
The Epidemiology of Herpes Simplex Virus Type 1 in Asia: Systematic Review, Meta-analyses, and Meta-regressions.

Clin Infect Dis. 2019-2-15

[10]
Sexually Transmitted Bedfellows: Exquisite Association Between HIV and Herpes Simplex Virus Type 2 in 21 Communities in Southern Africa in the HIV Prevention Trials Network 071 (PopART) Study.

J Infect Dis. 2018-7-2

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