Horstick Olaf, Martinez Eric, Guzman Maria Guadalupe, Martin Jose Luis San, Ranzinger Silvia Runge
Pathog Glob Health. 2015 Feb;109(1):19-25. doi: 10.1179/2047773215Y.0000000003. Epub 2015 Jan 28.
In 2009, the new World Health Organization (WHO) dengue case classification - dengue/severe dengue (D/SD) - was introduced, replacing the 1997 WHO dengue case classification: dengue fever/dengue haemorrhagic fever/dengue shock syndrome (DF/DHF/DSS).
A 2-day expert consensus meeting in La Habana/Cuba aimed to (1) share the experiences from Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) member states when applying D/SD, (2) present national and local data using D/SD, and (3) agree with the presented evidence on a list of recommendations for or against the use of D/SD for PAHO, and also globally.
Eight key questions were discussed, concluding: (1) D/SD is useful describing disease progression because it considers the dynamic nature of the disease, (2) D/SD helps defining dengue cases correctly for clinical studies, because it defines more precisely disease severity and allows evaluating dynamically the progression of cases, (3) D/SD describes correctly all clinical forms of severe dengue. Further standards need to be developed regionally, especially related to severe organ involvement, (4) D/SD allows for pathophysiological research identifying - in a sequential manner - the clinical manifestations of dengue related to pathophysiological events, (5) the warning signs help identifying early cases at risk of shock (children and adults), pathophysiology of the warning signs deserves further studies, (6) D/SD helps treating individual dengue cases and also the reorganization of health-care services for outbreak management, (7) D/SD helps diagnosing dengue, in presumptive diagnosis and follow-up of the disease, because of its high sensitivity and high negative predictive value (NPV), and (8) there is currently no update of the International Disease Classification10 (ICD10) to include the new classification of dengue (D/SD); therefore, there are not enough experiences of epidemiological reporting. Once D/SD has been implemented in epidemiological surveillance, D/SD allows to (1) identify severity of dengue cases in real time, for any decision-making on actions, (2) measure and compare morbidity and mortality in countries, and also globally, and (3) trigger contingency plans early, not only based on the number of reported cases but also on the reported severity of cases.
The expert panel recommends to (1) update ICD10, (2) include D/SD in country epidemiological reports, and (3) implement studies improving sensitivity/specificity of the dengue case definition.
2009年,世界卫生组织(WHO)引入了新的登革热病例分类——登革热/重症登革热(D/SD),取代了1997年WHO的登革热病例分类:登革热/登革出血热/登革休克综合征(DF/DHF/DSS)。
在古巴哈瓦那召开了一次为期两天的专家共识会议,旨在(1)分享泛美卫生组织(PAHO)成员国应用D/SD的经验,(2)展示使用D/SD的国家和地方数据,以及(3)就支持或反对PAHO及全球使用D/SD的一系列建议所提供的证据达成一致。
讨论了八个关键问题,得出以下结论:(1)D/SD有助于描述疾病进展,因为它考虑了疾病的动态性质;(2)D/SD有助于为临床研究正确定义登革热病例,因为它更精确地定义了疾病严重程度,并允许动态评估病例进展;(3)D/SD正确描述了重症登革热的所有临床形式。需要在区域层面制定进一步的标准,特别是与严重器官受累相关的标准;(4)D/SD有助于进行病理生理学研究,以顺序方式识别与病理生理事件相关的登革热临床表现;(5)预警信号有助于识别有休克风险的早期病例(儿童和成人),预警信号的病理生理学值得进一步研究;(6)D/SD有助于治疗单个登革热病例,也有助于为疫情管理重组医疗服务;(7)D/SD有助于在登革热的推定诊断和疾病随访中进行诊断,因为它具有高敏感性和高阴性预测值(NPV);(8)目前国际疾病分类第10版(ICD10)没有更新以纳入新的登革热分类(D/SD);因此,流行病学报告的经验不足。一旦在流行病学监测中实施D/SD,则D/SD能够(1)实时识别登革热病例的严重程度,以便对行动做出任何决策,(2)衡量和比较各国以及全球的发病率和死亡率,(3)不仅根据报告的病例数,而且根据报告的病例严重程度尽早启动应急计划。
专家小组建议(1)更新ICD10,(2)将D/SD纳入国家流行病学报告,(3)开展提高登革热病例定义敏感性/特异性的研究。