Sekandi Juliet N, Dobbin Kevin, Oloya James, Okwera Alphonse, Whalen Christopher C, Corso Phaedra S
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2015 Feb 6;10(2):e0117009. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0117009. eCollection 2015.
Case detection by passive case finding (PCF) strategy alone is inadequate for detecting all tuberculosis (TB) cases in high burden settings especially Sub-Saharan Africa. Alternative case detection strategies such as community Active Case Finding (ACF) and Household Contact Investigations (HCI) are effective but empirical evidence of their cost-effectiveness is sparse. The objective of this study was to determine whether adding ACF or HCI compared with standard PCF alone represent cost-effective alternative TB case detection strategies in urban Africa.
A static decision modeling framework was used to examine the costs and effectiveness of three TB case detection strategies: PCF alone, PCF+ACF, and PCF+HCI. Probability and cost estimates were obtained from National TB program data, primary studies conducted in Uganda, published literature and expert opinions. The analysis was performed from the societal and provider perspectives over a 1.5 year time-frame. The main effectiveness measure was the number of true TB cases detected and the outcome was incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) expressed as cost in 2013 US$ per additional true TB case detected.
Compared to PCF alone, the PCF+HCI strategy was cost-effective at US$443.62 per additional TB case detected. However, PCF+ACF was not cost-effective at US$1492.95 per additional TB case detected. Sensitivity analyses showed that PCF+ACF would be cost-effective if the prevalence of chronic cough in the population screened by ACF increased 10-fold from 4% to 40% and if the program costs for ACF were reduced by 50%.
Under our baseline assumptions, the addition of HCI to an existing PCF program presented a more cost-effective strategy than the addition of ACF in the context of an African city. Therefore, implementation of household contact investigations as a part of the recommended TB control strategy should be prioritized.
在高负担地区,尤其是撒哈拉以南非洲地区,仅通过被动病例发现(PCF)策略来检测所有结核病(TB)病例是不够的。诸如社区主动病例发现(ACF)和家庭接触者调查(HCI)等替代病例发现策略是有效的,但关于其成本效益的实证证据却很少。本研究的目的是确定在非洲城市中,与仅采用标准PCF相比,增加ACF或HCI是否代表具有成本效益的替代结核病病例发现策略。
使用静态决策建模框架来检验三种结核病病例发现策略的成本和效果:仅PCF、PCF + ACF和PCF + HCI。概率和成本估计来自国家结核病规划数据、在乌干达进行的初步研究、已发表的文献以及专家意见。分析是从社会和提供者的角度在1.5年的时间范围内进行的。主要的效果衡量指标是检测到的真正结核病病例数,结果是以每多检测到一例真正结核病病例的2013年美元成本表示的增量成本效益比(ICER)。
与仅PCF相比,PCF + HCI策略具有成本效益,每多检测到一例结核病病例的成本为443.62美元。然而,PCF + ACF不具有成本效益,每多检测到一例结核病病例的成本为1492.95美元。敏感性分析表明,如果ACF筛查人群中慢性咳嗽的患病率从4%增加10倍至40%,并且ACF的项目成本降低50%,那么PCF + ACF将具有成本效益。
在我们的基线假设下,在非洲城市的背景下,在现有PCF项目中增加HCI比增加ACF是一种更具成本效益的策略。因此,应优先将家庭接触者调查作为推荐的结核病控制策略的一部分来实施。