A process of events with notification delay and the forecasting of AIDS.
作者信息
Cox D R, Medley G F
机构信息
Nuffield College, Oxford, U.K.
出版信息
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 1989 Sep 5;325(1226):135-45. doi: 10.1098/rstb.1989.0078.
PMID:2572012
Abstract
Analysis and prediction of a point process are studied when there is delay in notifying the occurrence of events. A primarily parametric approach is taken to studying the rate of the underlying process and to predicting future properties of the system. Data on AIDS are used in illustration.
摘要
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