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老年营养风险指数:血液透析患者死亡率的预测指标

Geriatric nutritional risk index: a mortality predictor in hemodialysis patients.

作者信息

Edalat-Nejad Mahnaz, Zameni Fatemeh, Qlich-Khani Mahdi, Salehi Fatemeh

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Arak University of Medical Sciences, Arak, Iran.

出版信息

Saudi J Kidney Dis Transpl. 2015 Mar;26(2):302-8. doi: 10.4103/1319-2442.152445.

DOI:10.4103/1319-2442.152445
PMID:25758879
Abstract

Recently, the Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) has been introduced as a valuable tool to assess the nutritional status of hemodialysis (HD) patients. To determine the predictive value of the GNRI score for death in HD, we studied 145 chronic HD patients (%53 men, mean age 60 ± 16 years). The GNRI score was estimated by an equation involving serum albumin and individual's weight and height. According to the highest positive likelihood and risk ratios, the cut-off value of the GNRI for mortality was set at 100. The survival of patients on HD was examined with the Cox proportional hazards model. Mortality was monitored prospectively over an 18-month period, during which 35 patients died. The GNRI (mean 102.6 ± 5.5) was significantly positively correlated with lean body mass, hematocrit, serum lipids and presence of metabolic syndrome. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis demonstrated that the GNRI <100, serum ferritin ≥ 500 μ g/L and age 65 years or older were significant predictors for mortality (hazard ratio 3.691, 95% CI 1.751-7.779, P = 0.001; hazard ratio 3.105, 95% CI 1.536-6.277, P = 0.002; and hazard ratio 2.806, 95% CI 1.297-6.073, P = 0.009, respectively), after adjustment to gender and vintage time. It can be concluded that, in addition to old age, malnutrition (low GNRI) and inflammation (high ferritin) are identified as significant independent risk factors that predict all-cause mortality in HD patients.

摘要

最近,老年营养风险指数(GNRI)已被引入作为评估血液透析(HD)患者营养状况的重要工具。为了确定GNRI评分对HD患者死亡的预测价值,我们研究了145例慢性HD患者(53%为男性,平均年龄60±16岁)。GNRI评分通过一个涉及血清白蛋白以及个体体重和身高的公式来估算。根据最高的阳性似然比和风险比,将GNRI的死亡临界值设定为100。采用Cox比例风险模型检查HD患者的生存率。对18个月期间的死亡率进行前瞻性监测,在此期间有35例患者死亡。GNRI(平均值为102.6±5.5)与瘦体重、血细胞比容、血脂以及代谢综合征的存在显著正相关。多变量Cox比例风险分析表明,在调整性别和透析时间后,GNRI<100、血清铁蛋白≥500μg/L以及年龄65岁及以上是死亡的显著预测因素(风险比分别为3.691,95%置信区间1.751 - 7.779,P = 0.001;风险比3.105,95%置信区间1.536 - 6.277,P = 0.002;风险比2.806,95%置信区间1.297 - 6.073,P = 0.009)。可以得出结论,除了老年外,营养不良(低GNRI)和炎症(高铁蛋白)被确定为预测HD患者全因死亡率的显著独立风险因素。

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