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老年营养风险指数是慢性血液透析患者死亡率的一个简单预测指标。

Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index Is a Simple Predictor of Mortality in Chronic Hemodialysis Patients.

作者信息

Komatsu Mizuki, Okazaki Masayuki, Tsuchiya Ken, Kawaguchi Hiroshi, Nitta Kosaku

机构信息

Department of Nephrology, Jyoban Hospital, Fukushima, Japan.

出版信息

Blood Purif. 2015;39(4):281-7. doi: 10.1159/000381798. Epub 2015 Apr 29.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Malnutrition is common in hemodialysis (HD) patients, and it is associated with increasing risk of mortality. The geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) has been developed as a tool to assess the nutritional risk. The aim of this study was to examine the reliability of the GNRI as a mortality predictor in a Japanese HD cohort.

METHODS

We prospectively examined the GNRI of 332 maintenance HD patients aged 65.4 ± 13.2, 213 males, and followed up on them for 36 months. The patients were divided into quartiles (Q) according to GNRI values (Q1: <91.6, Q2: 91.7-97.0, Q3: 97.1-102.2, Q4: >102.3). Predictors for all-cause mortality were examined using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional-hazards analyses.

RESULTS

The GNRI presented a normal distribution. During the follow-up period of 36 months, 76 patients died. The overall mortality at the end of the 3-year observational period was 22.3%. At the 3-year follow-up period, Kaplan-Meier survival rates for all-cause mortality were 72.3, 79.3, 84.9 and 92.6% in Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4, respectively (p = 0.0067). Multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analysis demonstrated that the GNRI was a significant predictor of adjusted all-cause mortality (HR 0.958; 95% CI 0.929-0.989, p = 0.0073).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of the present study demonstrate that the GNRI is a strong predictor of overall mortality in HD patients. However, cardiovascular mortality was not associated with GNRI values, and did not differ among the GNRI quartiles. The GNRI score can be considered a simple and reliable marker of predictor for mortality risk in Japanese HD patients.

摘要

背景

营养不良在血液透析(HD)患者中很常见,并且与死亡风险增加相关。老年营养风险指数(GNRI)已被开发作为评估营养风险的工具。本研究的目的是检验GNRI作为日本HD队列中死亡率预测指标的可靠性。

方法

我们前瞻性地检测了332例维持性HD患者的GNRI,这些患者年龄为65.4±13.2岁,男性213例,并对他们进行了36个月的随访。根据GNRI值将患者分为四分位数(Q)(Q1:<91.6,Q2:91.7 - 97.0,Q3:97.1 - 102.2,Q4:>102.3)。使用Kaplan-Meier和Cox比例风险分析来检测全因死亡率的预测指标。

结果

GNRI呈正态分布。在36个月的随访期内,76例患者死亡。3年观察期结束时的总死亡率为22.3%。在3年随访期,Q1、Q2、Q3和Q4中全因死亡率的Kaplan-Meier生存率分别为72.3%、79.3%、84.9%和92.6%(p = 0.0067)。多变量Cox比例风险分析表明,GNRI是调整后全因死亡率的显著预测指标(风险比0.958;95%置信区间0.929 - 0.989,p = 0.0073)。

结论

本研究结果表明,GNRI是HD患者总体死亡率的有力预测指标。然而,心血管死亡率与GNRI值无关,且在GNRI四分位数之间没有差异。GNRI评分可被视为日本HD患者死亡风险预测指标的一个简单可靠的标志物。

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