VanDeusen Adam, Paintsil Elijah, Agyarko-Poku Thomas, Long Elisa F
Department of Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Departments of Pediatrics & Pharmacology, Yale School of Medicine, Yale Child Health Research Center, 464 Congress Ave, New Haven, CT, USA.
BMC Infect Dis. 2015 Mar 18;15:130. doi: 10.1186/s12879-015-0859-2.
Achieving the goal of eliminating mother-to-child HIV transmission (MTCT) necessitates increased access to antiretroviral therapy (ART) for HIV-infected pregnant women. Option B provides ART through pregnancy and breastfeeding, whereas Option B+ recommends continuous ART regardless of CD4 count, thus potentially reducing MTCT during future pregnancies. Our objective was to compare maternal and pediatric health outcomes and cost-effectiveness of Option B+ versus Option B in Ghana.
A decision-analytic model was developed to simulate HIV progression in mothers and transmission (in utero, during birth, or through breastfeeding) to current and all future children. Clinical parameters, including antenatal care access and fertility rates, were estimated from a retrospective review of 817 medical records at two hospitals in Ghana. Additional parameters were obtained from published literature. Modeled outcomes include HIV infections averted among newborn children, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and cost-effectiveness ratios.
HIV-infected women in Ghana have a lifetime average of 2.3 children (SD 1.3). Projected maternal life expectancy under Option B+ is 16.1 years, versus 16.0 years with Option B, yielding a gain of 0.1 maternal QALYs and 3.2 additional QALYs per child. Despite higher initial ART costs, Option B+ costs $785/QALY gained, a value considered very cost-effective by World Health Organization benchmarks. Widespread implementation of Option B+ in Ghana could theoretically prevent up to 668 HIV infections among children annually. Cost-effectiveness estimates remained favorable over robust sensitivity analyses.
Although more expensive than Option B, Option B+ substantially reduces MTCT in future pregnancies, increases both maternal and pediatric QALYs, and is a cost-effective use of limited resources in Ghana.
要实现消除母婴传播艾滋病毒(MTCT)的目标,就必须让更多感染艾滋病毒的孕妇能够获得抗逆转录病毒疗法(ART)。方案B在孕期和哺乳期提供抗逆转录病毒疗法,而方案B+则建议无论CD4细胞计数如何都持续进行抗逆转录病毒疗法,从而有可能在未来妊娠期间降低母婴传播率。我们的目标是比较加纳方案B+与方案B在孕产妇和儿童健康结局以及成本效益方面的差异。
开发了一个决策分析模型,以模拟母亲体内艾滋病毒的进展情况以及向当前和所有未来子女的传播情况(包括子宫内传播、分娩期间传播或母乳喂养期间传播)。通过对加纳两家医院817份病历的回顾性分析估算了包括产前护理可及性和生育率在内的临床参数。其他参数则取自已发表的文献。模拟的结果包括避免新生儿感染艾滋病毒、质量调整生命年(QALYs)以及成本效益比。
加纳感染艾滋病毒的女性平均一生育有2.3个子女(标准差为1.3)。方案B+预计的孕产妇预期寿命为16.1岁,方案B为16.0岁,每位母亲的质量调整生命年增加了0.1,每个子女的质量调整生命年增加了3.2。尽管方案B+的初始抗逆转录病毒疗法成本较高,但每获得一个质量调整生命年需花费785美元,按照世界卫生组织的标准,这一数值被认为具有很高的成本效益。理论上,在加纳广泛实施方案B+每年可预防多达668例儿童感染艾滋病毒。在全面的敏感性分析中,成本效益估计结果仍然良好。
尽管方案B+比方案B成本更高,但它能大幅降低未来妊娠期间的母婴传播率,增加孕产妇和儿童的质量调整生命年,并且在加纳是一种有效利用有限资源的方式具有成本效益。