Böhning Dankmar, Mylona Kalliopi, Kimber Alan
Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute & Mathematical Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK.
Biom J. 2015 Jul;57(4):633-48. doi: 10.1002/bimj.201400184. Epub 2015 Apr 27.
Meta-analysis of rare event studies has recently become a subject of controversy and debate. We will argue and demonstrate in this paper that the occurrence of zero events in clinical trials or cohort studies, even if zeros occur in both arms (the case of a double-zero trial), is less problematic, at least from a statistical perspective, if the available statistical tools are applied in the appropriate way. In particular, it is neither necessary nor advisable to exclude studies with zero events from the meta-analysis. In terms of statistical tools, we will focus here on Mantel-Haenszel techniques, mixed Poisson regression and related regression models.
罕见事件研究的荟萃分析最近已成为争议和辩论的主题。我们将在本文中论证并表明,在临床试验或队列研究中出现零事件的情况,即使双臂均出现零事件(双零试验的情况),至少从统计学角度来看,如果以适当的方式应用可用的统计工具,问题也较小。特别是,从荟萃分析中排除有零事件的研究既无必要也不可取。在统计工具方面,我们在此将重点关注曼特尔 - 亨泽尔技术、混合泊松回归及相关回归模型。