Fortunato L, Rushton L
MRC-HPA Centre for Environment and Health, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London W2 1PG, UK.
Br J Cancer. 2015 May 26;112(11):1805-15. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2014.599. Epub 2015 Apr 30.
A recent Monographs Working Group of the International Agency for Research on Cancer concluded that there is limited evidence for a causal association between exposure to asbestos and stomach cancer.
We performed a meta-analysis to quantitatively evaluate this association. Random effects models were used to summarise the relative risks across studies. Sources of heterogeneity were explored through subgroup analyses and meta-regression.
We identified 40 mortality cohort studies from 37 separate papers, and cancer incidence data were extracted for 15 separate cohorts from 14 papers. The overall meta-SMR for stomach cancer for total cohort was 1.15 (95% confidence interval 1.03-1.27), with heterogeneous results across studies. Statistically significant excesses were observed in North America and Australia but not in Europe, and for generic asbestos workers and insulators. Meta-SMRs were larger for cohorts reporting a SMR for lung cancer above 2 and cohort sizes below 1000.
Our results support the conclusion by IARC that exposure to asbestos is associated with a moderate increased risk of stomach cancer.
国际癌症研究机构的一个近期专论工作组得出结论,接触石棉与胃癌之间存在因果关联的证据有限。
我们进行了一项荟萃分析以定量评估这种关联。采用随机效应模型汇总各项研究的相对风险。通过亚组分析和元回归探索异质性来源。
我们从37篇独立论文中识别出40项死亡率队列研究,并从14篇论文中提取了15个独立队列的癌症发病率数据。总队列胃癌的总体元标准化死亡比(meta-SMR)为1.15(95%置信区间1.03 - 1.27),各项研究结果存在异质性。在北美和澳大利亚观察到统计学上显著的超额风险,但在欧洲未观察到,且在普通石棉工人和绝缘材料工人中也未观察到。对于报告肺癌标准化死亡比高于2且队列规模低于1000的队列,元标准化死亡比更大。
我们的结果支持国际癌症研究机构的结论,即接触石棉与胃癌风险适度增加有关。