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用于生命周期影响评估的颗粒物疾病负担特征分析。

Characterizing the burden of disease of particulate matter for life cycle impact assessment.

作者信息

Gronlund Carina J, Humbert Sebastien, Shaked Shanna, O'Neill Marie S, Jolliet Olivier

机构信息

University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Quantis, Lausanne, Switzerland.

出版信息

Air Qual Atmos Health. 2015 Feb 1;8(1):29-46. doi: 10.1007/s11869-014-0283-6.

Abstract

Fine particulate air pollution (PM) is a major environmental contributor to human burden of disease and therefore an important component of life cycle impact assessments. An accurate PM characterization factor, i.e., the impact per kg of PM emitted, is critical to estimating "cradle-to-grave" human health impacts of products and processes. We developed and assessed new characterization factors (disability-adjusted life years (DALY)/kg), or the products of dose-response factors (deaths/kg), severity factors (DALY/death) and intake fractions (kg/kg). In contrast to previous health burden estimates, we calculated age-specific concentration- and dose-response factors using baseline data, from 63 U.S. metropolitan areas, consistent with the U.S. study population used to derive the relative risk. We also calculated severity factors using 2010 Global Burden of Disease data. Multiplying the revised PM dose-responses, severity factors and intake fractions yielded new PM characterization factors that are higher than previous factors for primary PM but lower for secondary PM due to NO. Multiplying the concentration-response and severity factors by 2005 ambient PM concentrations yielded an annual U.S. burden of 2,000,000 DALY, slightly lower than previous U.S. estimates. The annual U.S. health burden estimated from PM emissions and characterization factors was 2.2 times higher.

摘要

细颗粒物空气污染(PM)是导致人类疾病负担的主要环境因素,因此也是生命周期影响评估的重要组成部分。准确的PM特征因子,即每千克排放的PM所产生的影响,对于估计产品和过程从“摇篮到坟墓”的人类健康影响至关重要。我们开发并评估了新的特征因子(伤残调整生命年(DALY)/千克),或剂量反应因子(死亡数/千克)、严重程度因子(DALY/死亡)和摄入分数(千克/千克)的乘积。与之前的健康负担估计不同,我们使用来自美国63个大都市区的基线数据计算了特定年龄的浓度和剂量反应因子,这些数据与用于得出相对风险的美国研究人群一致。我们还使用2010年全球疾病负担数据计算了严重程度因子。将修订后的PM剂量反应、严重程度因子和摄入分数相乘,得出新的PM特征因子,对于一次PM来说,这些因子高于之前的因子,但对于二次PM(由于NO)来说则低于之前的因子。将浓度反应和严重程度因子乘以2005年的环境PM浓度,得出美国每年的负担为200万DALY,略低于之前美国的估计。根据PM排放和特征因子估计的美国年度健康负担高出2.2倍。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/13ad/4426268/888c878d9a5c/nihms633849f1.jpg

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