Hou Wen-jia, Geng Ting, Chen Qun, Chen Chang-qing
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2015 Jan;26(1):249-59.
By using rice growth period, yield and climate observation data during the recent two decades, the impact of climate warming on rice in Northeast China was investigated by mathematical statistics methods. The results indicated that in the three provinces of Northeast China, the average, maximum and minimum temperatures in rice growing season were on the. rise, and the rainfall presented a downward trend during 1989-2009. Compared to 1990s, the rice whole growth periods of Heilongjiang, Jilin and Liaoning provinces in 2000s were prolonged 14 d, 4.5 d and 5.1 d, respectively. The increase of temperature in May, June and September could extend the rice growth period, while that in July would shorten the growth duration. The rice growth duration of registered varieties and experiment sites had a similar increasing trend in Northeast China except for the Heilongjiang Province, and the extension of registered varieties growth period was the main factor causing the prolonged growth period of rice at experiment sites. The change in daily average, minimum and maximum temperatures all could affect the rice yield in Northeast China. The increasing temperature significantly increased the rice yield in Heilongjiang Province, especially in the west region of Sanjiang Plain. Except for the south of Liaoning Province, rice yields in other regions of Northeast China were promoted by increasing temperature. Proper measures for breeding, cultivation and farming, could be adopted to fully improve the adaptation of rice to climate warming in Northeast China.
利用近20年水稻生育期、产量及气候观测资料,采用数理统计方法研究了气候变暖对中国东北地区水稻的影响。结果表明,1989—2009年中国东北地区三省水稻生长季平均气温、最高气温和最低气温均呈上升趋势,降水量呈下降趋势。与20世纪90年代相比,21世纪00年代黑龙江、吉林和辽宁三省水稻全生育期分别延长了14天、4.5天和5.1天。5月、6月和9月气温升高可延长水稻生育期,7月气温升高则缩短生育期。除黑龙江省外,中国东北地区审定品种和试验点水稻生育期呈相似的增加趋势,审定品种生育期延长是试验点水稻生育期延长的主要原因。日平均气温、最低气温和最高气温的变化均能影响中国东北地区水稻产量。气温升高显著增加了黑龙江省水稻产量,尤其是三江平原西部地区。除辽宁省南部外,中国东北地区其他地区气温升高均促进了水稻产量提高。可采取适当的育种、栽培和农事措施,充分提高中国东北地区水稻对气候变暖的适应性。