Halpern Benjamin S, Frazier Melanie, Potapenko John, Casey Kenneth S, Koenig Kellee, Longo Catherine, Lowndes Julia Stewart, Rockwood R Cotton, Selig Elizabeth R, Selkoe Kimberly A, Walbridge Shaun
Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, California 93106, USA.
Imperial College London, Silwood Park Campus, Buckhurst Road, Ascot SL57PY, UK.
Nat Commun. 2015 Jul 14;6:7615. doi: 10.1038/ncomms8615.
Human pressures on the ocean are thought to be increasing globally, yet we know little about their patterns of cumulative change, which pressures are most responsible for change, and which places are experiencing the greatest increases. Managers and policymakers require such information to make strategic decisions and monitor progress towards management objectives. Here we calculate and map recent change over 5 years in cumulative impacts to marine ecosystems globally from fishing, climate change, and ocean- and land-based stressors. Nearly 66% of the ocean and 77% of national jurisdictions show increased human impact, driven mostly by climate change pressures. Five percent of the ocean is heavily impacted with increasing pressures, requiring management attention. Ten percent has very low impact with decreasing pressures. Our results provide large-scale guidance about where to prioritize management efforts and affirm the importance of addressing climate change to maintain and improve the condition of marine ecosystems.
人们认为全球范围内人类对海洋的压力在不断增加,但我们对其累积变化模式、哪些压力是变化的主要原因以及哪些地区的压力增加最大知之甚少。管理者和政策制定者需要此类信息来做出战略决策并监测实现管理目标的进展情况。在此,我们计算并绘制了全球范围内过去5年渔业、气候变化以及海洋和陆地压力源对海洋生态系统累积影响的近期变化情况。近66%的海洋区域和77%的国家管辖区域显示人类影响增加,主要是由气候变化压力驱动的。5%的海洋区域受到严重影响且压力不断增加,需要管理关注。10%的区域影响非常低且压力在减小。我们的结果为确定管理工作的优先重点提供了大规模指导,并肯定了应对气候变化对于维持和改善海洋生态系统状况的重要性。