简短报告：预测2015年和2025年美国自闭症的经济负担
Brief Report: Forecasting the Economic Burden of Autism in 2015 and 2025 in the United States.
作者信息
Leigh J Paul, Du Juan
机构信息
Center for Healthcare Policy and Research, Department of Public Health Sciences, MS1C, University of California, Davis, School of Medicine, MS1C, Davis, CA, 95616-8638, USA.
Department of Economics, Strome College of Business, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, USA.
出版信息
J Autism Dev Disord. 2015 Dec;45(12):4135-9. doi: 10.1007/s10803-015-2521-7.
Few US estimates of the economic burden of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) are available and none provide estimates for 2015 and 2025. We forecast annual direct medical, direct non-medical, and productivity costs combined will be $268 billion (range $162-$367 billion; 0.884-2.009 % of GDP) for 2015 and $461 billion (range $276-$1011 billion; 0.982-3.600 % of GDP) for 2025. These 2015 figures are on a par with recent estimates for diabetes and attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) and exceed the costs of stroke and hypertension. If the prevalence of ASD continues to grow as it has in recent years, ASD costs will likely far exceed those of diabetes and ADHD by 2025.
美国对自闭症谱系障碍（ASD）经济负担的估算很少，且没有对2015年和2025年的估算。我们预测，2015年年度直接医疗、直接非医疗和生产力成本总计将达2680亿美元（范围为1620亿至3670亿美元；占GDP的0.884%-2.009%），2025年将达4610亿美元（范围为2760亿至10110亿美元；占GDP的0.982%-3.600%）。2015年的这些数字与近期对糖尿病和注意力缺陷多动障碍（ADHD）的估算相当，且超过了中风和高血压的成本。如果ASD的患病率继续像近年来那样增长，到2025年，ASD的成本可能会远远超过糖尿病和ADHD的成本。
Zotero 插件