Gerrard Paul, Goldstein Richard, DiVita Margaret A, Slocum Chloe, Ryan Colleen M, Mix Jacqueline, Niewczyk Paulette, Kazis Lewis, Zafonte Ross, Schneider Jeffrey C
New England Rehabilitation Hospital of Portland, 335 Brighton Ave, Portland, ME 04102. E-mail:
Am J Manag Care. 2015 Apr 1;21(4):e282-7.
To test whether functional status is a robust predictor of acute care readmission risk in patients who have been discharged to an inpatient rehabilitation facility (IRF) following a unilateral hip fracture.
Retrospective database study using a large administrative data set.
A retrospective analysis of data from the Uniform Data System for Medical Rehabilitation from the years 2002 to 2011 was performed, examining patients with an impairment of unilateral hip fracture. A basic prediction model based on functional status was compared with competing models incorporating medical comorbidities. C statistics were compared to evaluate model performance.
There were a total of 433,154 patients: 32,783 (7.87%) patients were transferred back to an acute hospital, including 7937 (1.91%) transferred within 3 days, 16,150 (3.88%) transferred within 7 days, and 32,607 (7.83%) transferred within 30 days after IRF admission. The C statistics for the Basic Model are 0.710, 0.674, and 0.667 at days 3, 7, and 30, respectively. Compared with the Basic Model, the best performing Basic-Plus model was the Basic+Elixhauser Model with C statistic differences of +0.013, +0.014, and +0.019, and the best performing Age-Comorbidity Model was the Age+Elixhauser Model with C statistic differences of -0.110, -0.079, and -0.065 at days 3, 7, and 30, respectively.
Functional status is a robust and potentially modifiable risk factor for patients admitted to IRFs following a unilateral hip fracture.
检验功能状态是否为单侧髋部骨折后出院至住院康复机构(IRF)的患者急性护理再入院风险的可靠预测指标。
使用大型管理数据集进行回顾性数据库研究。
对2002年至2011年医疗康复统一数据系统中的数据进行回顾性分析,研究单侧髋部骨折损伤患者。将基于功能状态的基本预测模型与纳入医疗合并症的竞争模型进行比较。比较C统计量以评估模型性能。
共有433,154例患者:32,783例(7.87%)患者转回急性医院,其中7937例(1.91%)在3天内转回,16,150例(3.88%)在7天内转回,32,607例(7.83%)在IRF入院后30天内转回。基本模型在第3天、第7天和第30天的C统计量分别为0.710、0.674和0.667。与基本模型相比,表现最佳的基本加模型是基本+埃利克斯豪泽模型,其C统计量差异分别为+0.013、+0.014和+0.019;表现最佳的年龄合并症模型是年龄+埃利克斯豪泽模型,其在第3天、第7天和第30天的C统计量差异分别为-0.110、-0.079和-0.065。
功能状态是单侧髋部骨折后入住IRF患者的一个可靠且可能可改变的风险因素。