The effects of diagnostic criteria on trends in coronary heart disease morbidity: the Minnesota Heart Survey.

The Minnesota Heart Survey assessed attack rates of MI in Twin Cities residents ages 30-74 years in 1970 and 1980. The age-adjusted attack rate per 100,000 of definite MI was similar in 1970 (174.2) and 1980 (179.9) p greater than 0.05, using ECG, chest pain, and blood enzyme concentrations of aspartate transaminase and/or lactic dehydrogenase as criteria. The attack rate of definite MI also remained constant when autopsy findings were included in the algorithm, 197.0 in 1970 and 191.4 in 1980 (p greater than 0.05). Adding creatine phosphokinase (CPK) and CPK-MB isoenzyme to the algorithm increased the rate of definite MIs from 209.0 in 1970 to 277.0 in 1980 (p less than 0.001). Interpretation of long-term trends in coronary heart disease morbidity is highly dependent upon variables used to validate cases. Care must be taken to maintain consistent criteria to avoid bias due to improvements in diagnostic techniques over time which increase sensitivity for detection of cardiac ischemia.