Smith William B, Steinberg Joni, Scholtes Stefan, Mcnamara Iain R
University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Tulane University, New Orleans, LA, USA.
Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc. 2017 Mar;25(3):924-933. doi: 10.1007/s00167-015-3821-3. Epub 2015 Oct 31.
To compare the age-based cost-effectiveness of total knee arthroplasty (TKA), unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA), and high tibial osteotomy (HTO) for the treatment of medial compartment knee osteoarthritis (MCOA).
A Markov model was used to simulate theoretical cohorts of patients 40, 50, 60, and 70 years of age undergoing primary TKA, UKA, or HTO. Costs and outcomes associated with initial and subsequent interventions were estimated by following these virtual cohorts over a 10-year period. Revision and mortality rates, costs, and functional outcome data were estimated from a systematic review of the literature. Probabilistic analysis was conducted to accommodate these parameters' inherent uncertainty, and both discrete and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were utilized to assess the robustness of the model's outputs to changes in key variables.
HTO was most likely to be cost-effective in cohorts under 60, and UKA most likely in those 60 and over. Probabilistic results did not indicate one intervention to be significantly more cost-effective than another. The model was exquisitely sensitive to changes in utility (functional outcome), somewhat sensitive to changes in cost, and least sensitive to changes in 10-year revision risk.
HTO may be the most cost-effective option when treating MCOA in younger patients, while UKA may be preferred in older patients. Functional utility is the primary driver of the cost-effectiveness of these interventions. For the clinician, this study supports HTO as a competitive treatment option in young patient populations. It also validates each one of the three interventions considered as potentially optimal, depending heavily on patient preferences and functional utility derived over time.
比较全膝关节置换术(TKA)、单髁膝关节置换术(UKA)和胫骨高位截骨术(HTO)治疗内侧间室膝关节骨关节炎(MCOA)基于年龄的成本效益。
采用马尔可夫模型模拟40、50、60和70岁接受初次TKA、UKA或HTO治疗的患者理论队列。通过在10年期间跟踪这些虚拟队列来估计与初始及后续干预相关的成本和结果。翻修率、死亡率、成本和功能结局数据通过对文献的系统评价进行估计。进行概率分析以适应这些参数固有的不确定性,并利用离散和概率敏感性分析来评估模型输出对关键变量变化的稳健性。
HTO在60岁以下队列中最有可能具有成本效益,UKA在60岁及以上队列中最有可能具有成本效益。概率结果并未表明一种干预措施在成本效益上显著优于另一种。该模型对效用(功能结局)变化极为敏感,对成本变化有些敏感,对10年翻修风险变化最不敏感。
在治疗年轻患者的MCOA时,HTO可能是最具成本效益的选择,而在老年患者中UKA可能更受青睐。功能效用是这些干预措施成本效益的主要驱动因素。对于临床医生而言,本研究支持HTO作为年轻患者群体中有竞争力的治疗选择。它还验证了所考虑的三种干预措施中的每一种都有可能是最佳的,这在很大程度上取决于患者的偏好和随时间推移获得的功能效用。