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气候变化对太平洋岛国的健康影响:脆弱性与适应优先事项的区域评估

Health Impacts of Climate Change in Pacific Island Countries: A Regional Assessment of Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Priorities.

作者信息

McIver Lachlan, Kim Rokho, Woodward Alistair, Hales Simon, Spickett Jeffery, Katscherian Dianne, Hashizume Masahiro, Honda Yasushi, Kim Ho, Iddings Steven, Naicker Jyotishma, Bambrick Hilary, McMichael Anthony J, Ebi Kristie L

机构信息

National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.

出版信息

Environ Health Perspect. 2016 Nov;124(11):1707-1714. doi: 10.1289/ehp.1509756. Epub 2015 Dec 8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Between 2010 and 2012, the World Health Organization Division of Pacific Technical Support led a regional climate change and health vulnerability assessment and adaptation planning project, in collaboration with health sector partners, in 13 Pacific island countries-Cook Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Nauru, Niue, Palau, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed the vulnerabilities of Pacific island countries to the health impacts of climate change and planned adaptation strategies to minimize such threats to health.

METHODS

This assessment involved a combination of quantitative and qualitative techniques. The former included descriptive epidemiology, time series analyses, Poisson regression, and spatial modeling of climate and climate-sensitive disease data, in the few instances where this was possible; the latter included wide stakeholder consultations, iterative consensus building, and expert opinion. Vulnerabilities were ranked using a "likelihood versus impact" matrix, and adaptation strategies were prioritized and planned accordingly.

RESULTS

The highest-priority climate-sensitive health risks in Pacific island countries included trauma from extreme weather events, heat-related illnesses, compromised safety and security of water and food, vector-borne diseases, zoonoses, respiratory illnesses, psychosocial ill-health, non-communicable diseases, population pressures, and health system deficiencies. Adaptation strategies relating to these climate change and health risks could be clustered according to categories common to many countries in the Pacific region.

CONCLUSION

Pacific island countries are among the most vulnerable in the world to the health impacts of climate change. This vulnerability is a function of their unique geographic, demographic, and socioeconomic characteristics combined with their exposure to changing weather patterns associated with climate change, the health risks entailed, and the limited capacity of the countries to manage and adapt in the face of such risks. Citation: McIver L, Kim R, Woodward A, Hales S, Spickett J, Katscherian D, Hashizume M, Honda Y, Kim H, Iddings S, Naicker J, Bambrick H, McMichael AJ, Ebi KL. 2016. Health impacts of climate change in Pacific island countries: a regional assessment of vulnerabilities and adaptation priorities. Environ Health Perspect 124:1707-1714; http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1509756.

摘要

背景

2010年至2012年期间,世界卫生组织太平洋技术支持司与卫生部门合作伙伴协作,在13个太平洋岛国开展了一个区域气候变化与健康脆弱性评估及适应规划项目,这些国家包括库克群岛、密克罗尼西亚联邦、斐济、基里巴斯、马绍尔群岛、瑙鲁、纽埃、帕劳、萨摩亚、所罗门群岛、汤加、图瓦卢和瓦努阿图。

目的

我们评估了太平洋岛国在气候变化对健康影响方面的脆弱性,并规划了适应策略以尽量减少此类对健康的威胁。

方法

本次评估综合运用了定量和定性技术。前者包括描述性流行病学、时间序列分析、泊松回归以及在少数可能情况下对气候和气候敏感疾病数据进行空间建模;后者包括广泛的利益相关方磋商、反复达成共识以及专家意见。使用“可能性与影响”矩阵对脆弱性进行排名,并据此对适应策略进行优先排序和规划。

结果

太平洋岛国中优先级最高的气候敏感型健康风险包括极端天气事件导致的创伤、与高温相关的疾病、水和食品安全与保障受损、媒介传播疾病、人畜共患病、呼吸道疾病、心理社会健康问题、非传染性疾病、人口压力以及卫生系统缺陷。与这些气候变化和健康风险相关的适应策略可根据太平洋地区许多国家共有的类别进行归类。

结论

太平洋岛国是世界上最易受气候变化健康影响的国家之一。这种脆弱性是由其独特的地理、人口和社会经济特征,加上它们面临与气候变化相关的天气模式变化、由此带来的健康风险以及这些国家应对此类风险的管理和适应能力有限所致。引文:McIver L, Kim R, Woodward A, Hales S, Spickett J, Katscherian D, Hashizume M, Honda Y, Kim H, Iddings S, Naicker J, Bambrick H, McMichael AJ, Ebi KL. 2016. 太平洋岛国气候变化对健康的影响:脆弱性和适应优先事项的区域评估。《环境健康展望》124:1707 - 1714;http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1509756

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3b8b/5089897/a05fc285752e/ehp.1509756.g001.jpg

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