Takeichi Yuki, Sasahara Kazutoshi, Suzuki Reiji, Arita Takaya
Department of Complex Systems Science, Nagoya University, Furo-cho, Chikusa-ku, Nagoya 458-8601, Japan.
PLoS One. 2015 Dec 14;10(12):e0144646. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0144646. eCollection 2015.
The advent of social media expands our ability to transmit information and connect with others instantly, which enables us to behave as "social sensors." Here, we studied concurrent bursty behavior of Twitter users during major sporting events to determine their function as social sensors. We show that the degree of concurrent bursts in tweets (posts) and retweets (re-posts) works as a strong indicator of winning or losing a game. More specifically, our simple tweet analysis of Japanese professional baseball games in 2013 revealed that social sensors can immediately react to positive and negative events through bursts of tweets, but that positive events are more likely to induce a subsequent burst of retweets. We confirm that these findings also hold true for tweets related to Major League Baseball games in 2015. Furthermore, we demonstrate active interactions among social sensors by constructing retweet networks during a baseball game. The resulting networks commonly exhibited user clusters depending on the baseball team, with a scale-free connectedness that is indicative of a substantial difference in user popularity as an information source. While previous studies have mainly focused on bursts of tweets as a simple indicator of a real-world event, the temporal correlation between tweets and retweets implies unique aspects of social sensors, offering new insights into human behavior in a highly connected world.
社交媒体的出现扩展了我们即时传递信息和与他人联系的能力,这使我们能够充当“社会传感器”。在此,我们研究了重大体育赛事期间推特用户的并发爆发行为,以确定他们作为社会传感器的功能。我们表明,推文(帖子)和转发(重新发布)中的并发爆发程度可作为比赛胜负的有力指标。更具体地说,我们对2013年日本职业棒球比赛进行的简单推文分析显示,社会传感器能够通过推文爆发立即对积极和消极事件做出反应,但积极事件更有可能引发随后的转发爆发。我们证实,这些发现对于2015年美国职业棒球大联盟比赛的相关推文同样适用。此外,我们通过在棒球比赛期间构建转发网络来展示社会传感器之间的积极互动。由此产生的网络通常会根据棒球队展示用户集群,具有无标度连通性,这表明作为信息源的用户受欢迎程度存在显著差异。虽然先前的研究主要将推文爆发作为现实世界事件的简单指标,但推文与转发之间的时间相关性暗示了社会传感器的独特方面,为高度互联世界中的人类行为提供了新的见解。