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大规模移动健康的可持续成本模型:对坦桑尼亚m4RH项目数据进行建模

Sustainable Cost Models for mHealth at Scale: Modeling Program Data from m4RH Tanzania.

作者信息

Mangone Emily R, Agarwal Smisha, L'Engle Kelly, Lasway Christine, Zan Trinity, van Beijma Hajo, Orkis Jennifer, Karam Robert

机构信息

FHI 360, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America.

Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Jan 29;11(1):e0148011. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0148011. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

There is increasing evidence that mobile phone health interventions ("mHealth") can improve health behaviors and outcomes and are critically important in low-resource, low-access settings. However, the majority of mHealth programs in developing countries fail to reach scale. One reason may be the challenge of developing financially sustainable programs. The goal of this paper is to explore strategies for mHealth program sustainability and develop cost-recovery models for program implementers using 2014 operational program data from Mobile for Reproductive Health (m4RH), a national text-message (SMS) based health communication service in Tanzania.

METHODS

We delineated 2014 m4RH program costs and considered three strategies for cost-recovery for the m4RH program: user pay-for-service, SMS cost reduction, and strategic partnerships. These inputs were used to develop four different cost-recovery scenarios. The four scenarios leveraged strategic partnerships to reduce per-SMS program costs and create per-SMS program revenue and varied the structure for user financial contribution. Finally, we conducted break-even and uncertainty analyses to evaluate the costs and revenues of these models at the 2014 user volume (125,320) and at any possible break-even volume.

RESULTS

In three of four scenarios, costs exceeded revenue by $94,596, $34,443, and $84,571 at the 2014 user volume. However, these costs represented large reductions (54%, 83%, and 58%, respectively) from the 2014 program cost of $203,475. Scenario four, in which the lowest per-SMS rate ($0.01 per SMS) was negotiated and users paid for all m4RH SMS sent or received, achieved a $5,660 profit at the 2014 user volume. A Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis demonstrated that break-even points were driven by user volume rather than variations in program costs.

CONCLUSIONS

These results reveal that breaking even was only probable when all SMS costs were transferred to users and the lowest per-SMS cost was negotiated with telecom partners. While this strategy was sustainable for the implementer, a central concern is that health information may not reach those who are too poor to pay, limiting the program's reach and impact. Incorporating strategies presented here may make mHealth programs more appealing to funders and investors but need further consideration to balance sustainability, scale, and impact.

摘要

背景

越来越多的证据表明,移动电话健康干预措施(“移动健康”)可以改善健康行为和结果,并且在资源匮乏、服务难以覆盖的地区至关重要。然而,发展中国家的大多数移动健康项目未能实现规模化。一个原因可能是开发具有财务可持续性项目面临的挑战。本文的目标是探索移动健康项目可持续性的策略,并利用坦桑尼亚一项基于短信(SMS)的全国性健康通信服务“移动促进生殖健康”(m4RH)2014年的运营项目数据,为项目实施者开发成本回收模型。

方法

我们划定了2014年m4RH项目的成本,并考虑了m4RH项目成本回收的三种策略:用户付费服务、降低短信成本以及战略伙伴关系。这些投入被用于开发四种不同的成本回收方案。这四种方案利用战略伙伴关系降低每条短信的项目成本并创造每条短信的项目收入,同时改变用户财务贡献的结构。最后,我们进行了盈亏平衡分析和不确定性分析,以评估这些模型在2014年用户数量(125,320)以及任何可能的盈亏平衡点时的成本和收入。

结果

在四种方案中的三种方案中,在2014年用户数量时,成本分别超出收入94,596美元、34,443美元和84,571美元。然而,这些成本相较于2014年203,475美元的项目成本大幅降低(分别为54%、83%和58%)。方案四通过协商达成了最低的每条短信费率(每条短信0.01美元),并且用户为发送或接收的所有m4RH短信付费,在2014年用户数量时实现了5,660美元的利润。蒙特卡洛不确定性分析表明,盈亏平衡点由用户数量驱动,而非项目成本的变化。

结论

这些结果表明,只有当所有短信成本转嫁给用户并与电信合作伙伴协商达成最低的每条短信成本时,才有可能实现收支平衡。虽然这种策略对实施者来说是可持续的,但一个核心问题是健康信息可能无法传达给那些太穷而无法付费的人,从而限制了项目的覆盖范围和影响。纳入本文提出的策略可能会使移动健康项目对资助者和投资者更具吸引力,但需要进一步考虑以平衡可持续性、规模和影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/67b8/4733101/5418cf1242c5/pone.0148011.g001.jpg

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