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亚洲及太平洋地区的糖尿病:对全球流行趋势的影响

Diabetes in Asia and the Pacific: Implications for the Global Epidemic.

作者信息

Nanditha Arun, Ma Ronald C W, Ramachandran Ambady, Snehalatha Chamukuttan, Chan Juliana C N, Chia Kee Seng, Shaw Jonathan E, Zimmet Paul Z

机构信息

India Diabetes Research Foundation, Chennai, India.

Department of Medicine & Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Prince of Wales Hospital, Shatin, Hong Kong Hong Kong Institute of Diabetes and Obesity, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong Li Ka Shing Institute of Health Sciences, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.

出版信息

Diabetes Care. 2016 Mar;39(3):472-85. doi: 10.2337/dc15-1536.

Abstract

The last three decades have witnessed an epidemic rise in the number of people with diabetes, especially type 2 diabetes, and particularly in developing countries, where more than 80% of the people with diabetes live. The rise of type 2 diabetes in South Asia is estimated to be more than 150% between 2000 and 2035. Although aging, urbanization, and associated lifestyle changes are the major determinants for the rapid increase, an adverse intrauterine environment and the resulting epigenetic changes could also contribute in many developing countries. The International Diabetes Federation estimated that there were 382 million people with diabetes in 2013, a number surpassing its earlier predictions. More than 60% of the people with diabetes live in Asia, with almost one-half in China and India combined. The Western Pacific, the world's most populous region, has more than 138.2 million people with diabetes, and the number may rise to 201.8 million by 2035. The scenario poses huge social and economic problems to most nations in the region and could impede national and, indeed, global development. More action is required to understand the drivers of the epidemic to provide a rationale for prevention strategies to address the rising global public health "tsunami." Unless drastic steps are taken through national prevention programs to curb the escalating trends in all of the countries, the social, economic, and health care challenges are likely to be insurmountable.

摘要

在过去三十年中,糖尿病患者数量呈流行趋势增长,尤其是2型糖尿病患者,在发展中国家情况尤为突出,超过80%的糖尿病患者生活在这些国家。据估计,2000年至2035年间,南亚2型糖尿病患者数量的增幅将超过150%。尽管老龄化、城市化以及相关生活方式的改变是导致糖尿病快速增加的主要因素,但在许多发展中国家,不良的子宫内环境及由此产生的表观遗传变化也可能起到了一定作用。国际糖尿病联盟估计,2013年全球糖尿病患者有3.82亿,这一数字超过了其先前的预测。超过60%的糖尿病患者生活在亚洲,中国和印度的糖尿病患者数量加起来几乎占了一半。西太平洋地区是世界上人口最多的地区,有超过1.382亿糖尿病患者,到2035年这一数字可能升至2.018亿。这种情况给该地区的大多数国家带来了巨大的社会和经济问题,可能会阻碍国家乃至全球的发展。需要采取更多行动来了解这种流行病的驱动因素,为应对全球公共卫生“海啸”式增长的预防策略提供依据。除非通过国家预防计划采取严厉措施来遏制所有国家不断升级的趋势,否则社会、经济和医疗保健方面的挑战可能将难以克服。

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