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与厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)相比,欧亚非季风区陆地加热引起的亚洲和北美洲夏季降水异常。

Summer precipitation anomalies in Asia and North America induced by Eurasian non-monsoon land heating versus ENSO.

作者信息

Zhao Ping, Wang Bin, Liu Jiping, Zhou Xiuji, Chen Junming, Nan Sulan, Liu Ge, Xiao Dong

机构信息

State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China.

Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2016 Feb 26;6:21346. doi: 10.1038/srep21346.

DOI:10.1038/srep21346
PMID:26916258
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4768350/
Abstract

When floods ravage Asian monsoon regions in summer, megadroughts often attack extratropical North America, which feature an intercontinental contrasting precipitation anomaly between Asia and North America. However, the characteristics of the contrasting Asian-North American (CANA) precipitation anomalies and associated mechanisms have not been investigated specifically. In this article, we firmly establish this summer CANA pattern, providing evidence for a significant effect of the land surface thermal forcing over Eurasian non-monsoon regions on the CANA precipitation anomalies by observations and numerical experiments. We show that the origin of the CANA precipitation anomalies and associated anomalous anticyclones over the subtropical North Pacific and Atlantic has a deeper root in Eurasian non-monsoon land surface heating than in North American land surface heating. The ocean forcing from the ENSO is secondary and tends to be confined in the tropics. Our results have strong implications to interpretation of the feedback of global warming on hydrological cycle over Asia and North America. Under the projected global warming due to the anthropogenic forcing, the prominent surface warming over Eurasian non-monsoon regions is a robust feature which, through the mechanism discussed here, would favor a precipitation increase over Asian monsoon regions and a precipitation decrease over extratropical North America.

摘要

夏季洪水肆虐亚洲季风区时,特大干旱常常侵袭温带北美洲,其特征是亚洲和北美洲之间存在洲际对比性降水异常。然而,亚洲 - 北美洲对比性(CANA)降水异常的特征及相关机制尚未得到专门研究。在本文中,我们明确确立了今夏的CANA模式,通过观测和数值实验为欧亚非季风区的地表热强迫对CANA降水异常的显著影响提供了证据。我们表明,CANA降水异常及亚热带北太平洋和大西洋上空相关异常反气旋的起源,在欧亚非季风区地表加热方面比在北美地表加热方面有更深的根源。厄尔尼诺 - 南方涛动(ENSO)的海洋强迫是次要的,且往往局限于热带地区。我们的结果对于解释全球变暖对亚洲和北美洲水文循环的反馈具有重要意义。在人为强迫导致的预计全球变暖情况下,欧亚非季风区显著的地表变暖是一个稳健特征,通过本文讨论的机制,这将有利于亚洲季风区降水增加,而温带北美洲降水减少。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99fc/4768350/3a4eaf0bdf7c/srep21346-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99fc/4768350/ed65c8a53cae/srep21346-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99fc/4768350/440424f6ebe4/srep21346-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99fc/4768350/3a4eaf0bdf7c/srep21346-f3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99fc/4768350/ed65c8a53cae/srep21346-f1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99fc/4768350/440424f6ebe4/srep21346-f2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/99fc/4768350/3a4eaf0bdf7c/srep21346-f3.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
The effect of eurasian snow cover on global climate.欧亚雪盖对全球气候的影响。
Science. 1988 Jan 29;239(4839):504-7. doi: 10.1126/science.239.4839.504.
2
ENSO as an integrating concept in earth science.厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)作为地球科学中的一个综合概念。
Science. 2006 Dec 15;314(5806):1740-5. doi: 10.1126/science.1132588.
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Science. 2005 Dec 9;310(5754):1674-8. doi: 10.1126/science.1118160.
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Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation.土壤湿度与降水之间的强耦合区域。
Science. 2004 Aug 20;305(5687):1138-40. doi: 10.1126/science.1100217.
5
On the weakening relationship between the indian monsoon and ENSO.论印度季风与厄尔尼诺-南方涛动之间减弱的关系。
Science. 1999 Jun 25;284(5423):2156-9. doi: 10.1126/science.284.5423.2156.