Feddema Johannes J, Oleson Keith W, Bonan Gordon B, Mearns Linda O, Buja Lawrence E, Meehl Gerald A, Washington Warren M
Department of Geography, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS 66045, USA.
Science. 2005 Dec 9;310(5754):1674-8. doi: 10.1126/science.1118160.
Adding the effects of changes in land cover to the A2 and B1 transient climate simulations described in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change leads to significantly different regional climates in 2100 as compared with climates resulting from atmospheric SRES forcings alone. Agricultural expansion in the A2 scenario results in significant additional warming over the Amazon and cooling of the upper air column and nearby oceans. These and other influences on the Hadley and monsoon circulations affect extratropical climates. Agricultural expansion in the mid-latitudes produces cooling and decreases in the mean daily temperature range over many areas. The A2 scenario results in more significant change, often of opposite sign, than does the B1 scenario.
将土地覆盖变化的影响纳入政府间气候变化专门委员会《排放情景特别报告》（SRES）中所描述的A2和B1瞬态气候模拟，与仅由大气SRES强迫导致的气候相比，会在2100年产生显著不同的区域气候。A2情景下的农业扩张导致亚马逊地区显著增温，高空气柱和附近海洋降温。这些以及对哈得莱环流和季风环流的其他影响会影响温带气候。中纬度地区的农业扩张导致许多地区降温，平均日温度范围减小。与B1情景相比，A2情景导致的变化更显著，且变化趋势往往相反。
