Farkas Klaudia, Szűcs Mónika, Nyári Tibor András
1st Department of Medicine, University of Szeged, Szeged, Hungary.
Department of Medical Physics and Informatics, University of Szeged, P.O. Box: 427, Szeged, H-6701, Hungary.
Pathol Oncol Res. 2016 Oct;22(4):681-8. doi: 10.1007/s12253-016-0052-y. Epub 2016 Mar 10.
The aim of this study was to investigate the annual death trends for gastrointestinal cancer in Hungary between 1963 and 2012. Data on the numbers of cancer deaths were obtained from the published nationwide population register. Numbers of deaths from esophageal, gastric and colorectal cancer were available during the study period. However, the mortality data for hepatic, pancreatic and gallbladder cancer have been published only since 1979. Joinpoint regression was applied to investigate the annual trends in the rates of cancer mortality. The annual mortality rates of gastric and gallbladder cancer decreased throughout the study period. Furthermore, declines in mortality from esophageal and hepatic cancers have been observed since 1998 and 1995, respectively. However, the rates of colorectal and pancreatic cancer mortality have been increasing in the past few years. Nevertheless, the mortality rates of colorectal and pancreatic cancers have increased in males aged 40-59 years during the study period. Moreover, significantly higher risks of gastrointestinal cancer-related deaths have been observed in males as compared with females except for death related to cancer of the gallbladder. The presented data suggest that the Hungarian mortality rates are particularly high. The detection of gastrointestinal cancers at an early stage would significantly improves the outcome of these malignancies.
本研究的目的是调查1963年至2012年间匈牙利胃肠道癌症的年度死亡趋势。癌症死亡人数的数据来自已公布的全国人口登记册。在研究期间可获得食管癌、胃癌和结直肠癌的死亡人数。然而,肝癌、胰腺癌和胆囊癌的死亡率数据自1979年才开始公布。采用Joinpoint回归分析来研究癌症死亡率的年度趋势。在整个研究期间,胃癌和胆囊癌的年度死亡率有所下降。此外,自1998年和1995年以来,分别观察到食管癌和肝癌死亡率的下降。然而,在过去几年中,结直肠癌和胰腺癌的死亡率一直在上升。尽管如此,在研究期间,40 - 59岁男性的结直肠癌和胰腺癌死亡率有所上升。此外,除胆囊癌相关死亡外,男性胃肠道癌症相关死亡风险显著高于女性。所呈现的数据表明匈牙利的死亡率特别高。早期发现胃肠道癌症将显著改善这些恶性肿瘤的治疗结果。