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用于评估儿童慢性肾脏病进展的贝叶斯联合建模

Bayesian joint modeling for assessing the progression of chronic kidney disease in children.

作者信息

Armero Carmen, Forte Anabel, Perpiñán Hèctor, Sanahuja María José, Agustí Silvia

机构信息

1 Department of Statistics and Operational Research, Universitat de València, Burjassot, Spain.

2 Fundación para el Fomento de la Investigación Sanitaria y Biomédica de la Comunitat Valenciana (Fisabio), Valencia, Spain.

出版信息

Stat Methods Med Res. 2018 Jan;27(1):298-311. doi: 10.1177/0962280216628560. Epub 2016 Mar 16.

Abstract

Joint models are rich and flexible models for analyzing longitudinal data with nonignorable missing data mechanisms. This article proposes a Bayesian random-effects joint model to assess the evolution of a longitudinal process in terms of a linear mixed-effects model that accounts for heterogeneity between the subjects, serial correlation, and measurement error. Dropout is modeled in terms of a survival model with competing risks and left truncation. The model is applied to data coming from ReVaPIR, a project involving children with chronic kidney disease whose evolution is mainly assessed through longitudinal measurements of glomerular filtration rate.

摘要

联合模型是用于分析具有不可忽略缺失数据机制的纵向数据的丰富且灵活的模型。本文提出了一种贝叶斯随机效应联合模型,以根据线性混合效应模型评估纵向过程的演变,该模型考虑了个体之间的异质性、序列相关性和测量误差。失访根据具有竞争风险和左截断的生存模型进行建模。该模型应用于来自ReVaPIR的数据,这是一个涉及慢性肾病儿童的项目,其病情演变主要通过肾小球滤过率的纵向测量来评估。

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