Davis Katrina A S, Sudlow Cathie L M, Hotopf Matthew
Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry Psychology and Neuroscience, Kings College London, London, UK.
South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, Maudsley Hospital, Denmark Hill, London, SE5 8AZ, UK.
BMC Psychiatry. 2016 Jul 26;16:263. doi: 10.1186/s12888-016-0963-x.
There is increasing availability of data derived from diagnoses made routinely in mental health care, and interest in using these for research. Such data will be subject to both diagnostic (clinical) error and administrative error, and so it is necessary to evaluate its accuracy against a reference-standard. Our aim was to review studies where this had been done to guide the use of other available data.
We searched PubMed and EMBASE for studies comparing routinely collected mental health diagnosis data to a reference standard. We produced diagnostic category-specific positive predictive values (PPV) and Cohen's kappa for each study.
We found 39 eligible studies. Studies were heterogeneous in design, with a wide range of outcomes. Administrative error was small compared to diagnostic error. PPV was related to base rate of the respective condition, with overall median of 76 %. Kappa results on average showed a moderate agreement between source data and reference standard for most diagnostic categories (median kappa = 0.45-0.55); anxiety disorders and schizoaffective disorder showed poorer agreement. There was no significant benefit in accuracy for diagnoses made in inpatients.
The current evidence partly answered our questions. There was wide variation in the quality of source data, with a risk of publication bias. For some diagnoses, especially psychotic categories, administrative data were generally predictive of true diagnosis. For others, such as anxiety disorders, the data were less satisfactory. We discuss the implications of our findings, and the need for researchers to validate routine diagnostic data.
心理健康护理中常规诊断所产生的数据越来越容易获取,人们也有兴趣将这些数据用于研究。此类数据会受到诊断(临床)错误和管理错误的影响,因此有必要对照参考标准评估其准确性。我们的目的是回顾已开展此项工作的研究,以指导其他可用数据的使用。
我们在PubMed和EMBASE中检索了将常规收集的心理健康诊断数据与参考标准进行比较的研究。我们为每项研究得出了特定诊断类别的阳性预测值(PPV)和科恩kappa系数。
我们找到了39项符合条件的研究。研究设计各异,结果范围广泛。与诊断错误相比,管理错误较小。PPV与相应疾病的基础率相关,总体中位数为76%。kappa结果平均显示,大多数诊断类别中源数据与参考标准之间存在中度一致性(中位数kappa=0.45-0.55);焦虑症和分裂情感性障碍的一致性较差。住院患者的诊断在准确性方面没有显著益处。
目前的证据部分回答了我们的问题。源数据质量差异很大,存在发表偏倚的风险。对于某些诊断,尤其是精神病类别,管理数据通常可预测真实诊断。对于其他诊断,如焦虑症,数据则不太令人满意。我们讨论了研究结果的意义,以及研究人员验证常规诊断数据的必要性。