Wang Yani, Qi Fei, Jia Xiaorong, Lin Peng, Liu Hui, Geng Meiyun, Liu Yunning, Li Shanpeng, Tan Jibin
Medical College, Qingdao University, Qingdao 266071, China.
Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Qingdao 266033, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2016 Sep 9;13(9):898. doi: 10.3390/ijerph13090898.
In China, smoking is the leading preventable cause of deaths by a disease. Estimating the disease burden attributable to smoking contributes to an evaluation of the adverse impact of smoking. To aid in policy change and implementation, this study estimated the population-attributable fractions (PAFs) of smoking, the all-cause mortality and the loss of life expectancy attributable to smoking in 2014 of Qingdao. PAFs were calculated using the smoking impact ratio (SIR) or current smoking rate (P) and relative risk (RR). We determined the smoking-attributable mortality by multiplying the smoking-attributable fraction by the total mortality. This study used the method of an abridged life table to calculate the loss of life expectancy caused by smoking. Smoking caused about 8635 deaths (6883 males, 1752 females), and accounted for 16% of all deaths; 22% in males and 8% in females. The leading causes of deaths attributable to smoking were lung cancer (38%), ischemic heart disease (19%) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD, 12%). The PAF for all causes was 22%; 30% in males and 10% in females. Tobacco use may cause a reduction of about 2.01 years of the loss of life expectancy; 3 years in males and 0.87 years in females. The findings highlight the need for taking effective measures to prevent initiation and induce cessation.
在中国,吸烟是导致疾病死亡的首要可预防因素。估算吸烟所致的疾病负担有助于评估吸烟的负面影响。为助力政策变革与实施,本研究估算了2014年青岛市吸烟的人群归因分数(PAFs)、全因死亡率以及吸烟所致的预期寿命损失。PAFs通过吸烟影响率(SIR)或当前吸烟率(P)以及相对风险(RR)来计算。我们通过将吸烟归因分数与总死亡率相乘来确定吸烟归因死亡率。本研究采用简略寿命表法来计算吸烟导致的预期寿命损失。吸烟导致约8635人死亡(男性6883人,女性1752人),占所有死亡人数的16%;男性占22%,女性占8%。吸烟所致死亡的主要原因是肺癌(38%)、缺血性心脏病(19%)和慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD,12%)。所有原因的PAF为22%;男性为30%,女性为10%。吸烟可能导致预期寿命损失约2.01年;男性为3年,女性为0.87年。研究结果凸显了采取有效措施预防吸烟起始和促使戒烟的必要性。