Dirlikov Emilio, Kniss Krista, Major Chelsea, Thomas Dana, Virgen Cesar A, Mayshack Marrielle, Asher Jason, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero Luis, Salinas Jorge L, Pastula Daniel M, Sharp Tyler M, Sejvar James, Johansson Michael A, Rivera-Garcia Brenda
Emerg Infect Dis. 2017 Jan;23(1):134-136. doi: 10.3201/eid2301.161290. Epub 2017 Jan 15.
To assist with public health preparedness activities, we estimated the number of expected cases of Zika virus in Puerto Rico and associated healthcare needs. Estimated annual incidence is 3.2-5.1 times the baseline, and long-term care needs are predicted to be 3-5 times greater than in years with no Zika virus.
为协助开展公共卫生防范活动,我们估算了波多黎各寨卡病毒的预计病例数以及相关医疗需求。预计年发病率是基线水平的3.2至5.1倍,预计长期护理需求比无寨卡病毒年份高出3至5倍。