Davalos Angel D, Luben Thomas J, Herring Amy H, Sacks Jason D
Department of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill.
National Center for Environmental Assessment, Office of Research and Development, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC.
Ann Epidemiol. 2017 Feb;27(2):145-153.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2016.11.016. Epub 2016 Dec 9.
Air pollution epidemiology traditionally focuses on the relationship between individual air pollutants and health outcomes (e.g., mortality). To account for potential copollutant confounding, individual pollutant associations are often estimated by adjusting or controlling for other pollutants in the mixture. Recently, the need to characterize the relationship between health outcomes and the larger multipollutant mixture has been emphasized in an attempt to better protect public health and inform more sustainable air quality management decisions.
New and innovative statistical methods to examine multipollutant exposures were identified through a broad literature search, with a specific focus on those statistical approaches currently used in epidemiologic studies of short-term exposures to criteria air pollutants (i.e., particulate matter, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone).
Five broad classes of statistical approaches were identified for examining associations between short-term multipollutant exposures and health outcomes, specifically additive main effects, effect measure modification, unsupervised dimension reduction, supervised dimension reduction, and nonparametric methods. These approaches are characterized including advantages and limitations in different epidemiologic scenarios.
By highlighting the characteristics of various studies in which multipollutant statistical methods have been used, this review provides epidemiologists and biostatisticians with a resource to aid in the selection of the most optimal statistical method to use when examining multipollutant exposures.
空气污染流行病学传统上关注个体空气污染物与健康结果(如死亡率)之间的关系。为了考虑潜在的共污染物混杂因素,个体污染物关联通常通过调整或控制混合物中的其他污染物来估计。最近,人们强调需要描述健康结果与更大的多污染物混合物之间的关系,以更好地保护公众健康并为更可持续的空气质量管理决策提供依据。
通过广泛的文献检索,确定了用于研究多污染物暴露的新颖统计方法,特别关注目前在短期暴露于标准空气污染物(即颗粒物、一氧化碳、二氧化硫、二氧化氮和臭氧)的流行病学研究中使用的统计方法。
确定了五类广泛的统计方法,用于研究短期多污染物暴露与健康结果之间的关联,具体为相加主效应、效应测量修正、无监督降维、有监督降维及非参数方法。这些方法的特点包括在不同流行病学场景中的优点和局限性。
通过强调使用多污染物统计方法的各类研究的特点,本综述为流行病学家和生物统计学家提供了一种资源,有助于他们在研究多污染物暴露时选择最优化的统计方法。