Darling Jeremy D, McCallum John C, Soden Peter A, Guzman Raul J, Wyers Mark C, Hamdan Allen D, Verhagen Hence J, Schermerhorn Marc L
Division of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Mass.
Department of Vascular Surgery, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
J Vasc Surg. 2017 Mar;65(3):695-704. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2016.09.055. Epub 2017 Jan 7.
The Society for Vascular Surgery (SVS) Wound, Ischemia and foot Infection (WIfI) classification system was proposed to predict 1-year amputation risk and potential benefit from revascularization. Our goal was to evaluate the predictive ability of this scale in a real-world selection of patients undergoing a first-time lower extremity revascularization for chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI).
From 2005 to 2014, 1336 limbs underwent a first-time lower extremity revascularization for CLTI, of which 992 had sufficient data to classify all three WIfI components (wound, ischemia, and foot infection). Limbs were stratified into the SVS WIfI clinical stages (from 1 to 4) for 1-year amputation risk estimation, a novel WIfI composite score from 0 to 9 (that weighs all WIfI variables equally), and a novel WIfI mean score from 0 to 3 (that can incorporate limbs missing any of the three WIfI components). Outcomes included major amputation; revascularization, major amputation, or stenosis (>3.5× step-up by duplex; RAS) events; and death. Predictors were identified using Cox regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates.
Of the 1336 first-time procedures performed, 992 limbs were classified in all three WIfI components (524 endovascular and 468 bypass; 26% rest pain and 74% tissue loss). Cox regression demonstrated that a one-unit increase in the WIfI clinical stage increases the risk of major amputation (hazard ratio [HR], 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7-3.2) and RAS events in all limbs (HR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.3). Separate models of the entire cohort, a bypass-only cohort, and an endovascular-only cohort showed that a one-unit increase in the WIfI mean score is associated with an increase in the risk of major amputation (all three cohorts: HR, 5.3 [95% CI, 3.6-6.8], 4.1 [2.4-6.9], and 6.6 [3.8-11.6], respectively) and RAS events (all three cohorts: HR, 1.7 [95% CI, 1.4-2.0], 1.9 [1.4-2.6], and 1.4 [1.1-1.9], respectively). The novel WIfI composite and WIfI mean scores were the only consistent predictors of death among the three cohorts, with the WIfI mean score proving most strongly predictive in the entire cohort (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.1-1.7), the bypass-only cohort (HR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.1-1.9), and the endovascular-only cohort (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.0-1.8). Although the individual WIfI wound component was able to predict mortality among all patients (HR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.2) and bypass-only patients (HR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.3), neither the additional individual WIfI components nor the WIfI clinical stage were able to significantly predict mortality among any cohort.
This study supports the ability of the SVS WIfI classification system to predict major amputation; however, the novel WIfI mean and WIfI composite scores predict amputation, RAS events, and mortality more consistently than any other current WIfI scoring system. The WIfI mean score allows inclusion of all limbs, and both novel scoring systems are easier to conceptualize, give equal weight to each WIfI component, and may provide clinicians more effective comparisons in outcomes between patients.
血管外科学会(SVS)伤口、缺血和足部感染(WIfI)分类系统旨在预测1年截肢风险以及血管重建可能带来的益处。我们的目标是评估该量表在现实世界中对首次因慢性肢体威胁性缺血(CLTI)接受下肢血管重建的患者的预测能力。
2005年至2014年,1336条肢体首次因CLTI接受下肢血管重建,其中992条有足够数据对WIfI的所有三个组成部分(伤口、缺血和足部感染)进行分类。将肢体分为SVS WIfI临床阶段(1至4期)以估计1年截肢风险,创建一个从0到9的新型WIfI综合评分(对所有WIfI变量同等加权),以及一个从0到3的新型WIfI平均评分(可纳入缺少任何一个WIfI组成部分的肢体)。结局包括大截肢;血管重建、大截肢或狭窄(双功超声显示>3.5倍升高;RAS)事件;以及死亡。使用Cox回归模型和Kaplan-Meier生存估计确定预测因素。
在1336例首次手术中,992条肢体的所有三个WIfI组成部分均被分类(524例血管腔内治疗和468例旁路手术;26%静息痛和74%组织缺损)。Cox回归表明,WIfI临床阶段增加一个单位会增加所有肢体大截肢风险(风险比[HR],2.4;95%置信区间[CI],1.7 - 3.2)和RAS事件风险(HR,1.2;95% CI,1.1 - 1.3)。对整个队列、仅旁路手术队列和仅血管腔内治疗队列的单独模型显示,WIfI平均评分增加一个单位与大截肢风险增加相关(所有三个队列:HR分别为5.3 [95% CI,3.6 - 6.8]、4.1 [2.4 - 6.9]和6.6 [3.8 - 11.6])以及RAS事件风险增加(所有三个队列:HR分别为1.7 [95% CI,1.4 - 2.0]、1.9 [1.4 - 2.6]和1.4 [1.1 - 1.9])。新型WIfI综合评分和WIfI平均评分是三个队列中唯一一致的死亡预测因素,WIfI平均评分在整个队列(HR,1.4;95% CI,1.1 - 1.7)、仅旁路手术队列(HR,1.5;95% CI,1.1 - 1.9)和仅血管腔内治疗队列(HR,1.4;95% CI,1.0 - 1.8)中预测性最强。尽管单个WIfI伤口组成部分能够预测所有患者(HR,1.1;95% CI,1.0 - 1.2)和仅旁路手术患者(HR,1.2;95% CI,1.1 - 1.3)的死亡率,但其他单个WIfI组成部分和WIfI临床阶段均不能显著预测任何队列中的死亡率。
本研究支持SVS WIfI分类系统预测大截肢的能力;然而,新型WIfI平均评分和WIfI综合评分比任何其他当前WIfI评分系统更一致地预测截肢、RAS事件和死亡率。WIfI平均评分允许纳入所有肢体,并且这两种新型评分系统更易于理解,对每个WIfI组成部分同等加权,可能为临床医生提供患者间结局的更有效比较。