Hicks Caitlin W, Zarkowsky Devin S, Bostock Ian C, Stone David H, Black James H, Eldrup-Jorgensen Jens, Goodney Philip P, Malas Mahmoud B
Division of Vascular Surgery and Endovascular Therapy, Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutes, Baltimore, Md.
Department of Surgery, Dartmouth-Hitchcock Medical Center, Lebanon, NH.
J Vasc Surg. 2017 Jun;65(6):1625-1635. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2016.10.106. Epub 2017 Feb 16.
Society for Vascular Surgery practice guidelines recommend 1- and 12-month follow-up with computed tomography imaging for the year after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). We describe the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of EVAR patients who are lost to follow-up (LTF).
All patients undergoing elective EVAR in the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) data set (January 2003-December 2015) were stratified according to long-term follow-up method (in-person vs phone call vs LTF). Mortality was captured for all patients by linkage with the Social Security Death Index. Univariable statistics, Kaplan-Meier estimated survival curves, and Cox proportional hazard modeling were used to compare groups. Coarsened exact matching analysis was then performed to refine the association between LTF and risk of post-EVAR death.
During the study period, 11,309 patients underwent elective EVAR (78% in-person follow-up, 11% phone call follow-up, 11% LTF). On univariable analysis, LTF patients had larger baseline aneurysms, higher American Society of Anesthesiologists scores, more comorbidities, and worse baseline functional status compared to patients with in-person or phone call follow-up (P ≤ .05). Procedural factors (contrast material volume, blood transfusions, postoperative vasopressor use) were higher in the LTF group, as was the incidence of postoperative complications (P ≤ .05). Accordingly, LTF patients had longer postoperative lengths of stay and were less frequently discharged to home (P < .001). Five-year survival was lower for LTF vs phone call follow-up vs in-person follow-up (62% vs 68% vs 84%; P < .001). On multivariable analysis correcting for baseline differences between groups, there was a significantly higher risk of death for both the LTF group (hazard ratio, 6.45; 95% confidence interval, 4.89-8.51) and phone call follow-up group (hazard ratio, 3.48; 95% confidence interval, 2.66-4.57) compared with patients who followed up in person (P < .001). After coarsened exact matching on 30 preoperative and perioperative variables, 5-year survival after EVAR for LTF vs phone call follow-up vs in-person follow-up was 84.9% vs 84.8% vs 91.9%, respectively (log-rank, P < .001). Notably, patients with phone call follow-up had a lower prevalence of documented postoperative imaging compared with patients with in-person follow-up (56.1% vs 85.1%; P < .001).
EVAR patients with more comorbidities and a higher incidence of in-hospital complications tend to be more frequently LTF and ultimately have worse survival outcomes. In-person follow-up is associated with better post-EVAR survival and a higher rate of postoperative imaging. Phone follow-up confers a mortality risk equivalent to lack of follow-up, possibly as a result of inadequate postoperative imaging. Surgeons should stress the importance of office-based postoperative follow-up to all EVAR patients, particularly those with poor baseline health and functional status and more complicated perioperative courses.
血管外科学会的实践指南建议,在血管内动脉瘤修复术(EVAR)后的一年中,进行1个月和12个月的计算机断层扫描成像随访。我们描述了失访(LTF)的EVAR患者的发生率、危险因素和结局。
对血管质量倡议(VQI)数据集中(2003年1月至2015年12月)所有接受择期EVAR的患者,根据长期随访方法(亲自随访、电话随访或失访)进行分层。通过与社会保障死亡指数联动获取所有患者的死亡率。采用单变量统计、Kaplan-Meier估计生存曲线和Cox比例风险模型对各组进行比较。然后进行精确匹配分析,以完善LTF与EVAR后死亡风险之间的关联。
在研究期间,11309例患者接受了择期EVAR(78%为亲自随访,11%为电话随访,11%为失访)。单变量分析显示,与亲自随访或电话随访的患者相比,失访患者的基线动脉瘤更大、美国麻醉医师协会评分更高、合并症更多、基线功能状态更差(P≤0.05)。失访组的手术因素(造影剂用量、输血、术后血管升压药使用)更高,术后并发症发生率也更高(P≤0.05)。因此,失访患者术后住院时间更长,出院回家的频率更低(P<0.001)。失访组与电话随访组和亲自随访组相比,5年生存率更低(62%对68%对84%;P<0.001)。在对组间基线差异进行校正的多变量分析中,失访组(风险比,6.45;95%置信区间,4.89-8.51)和电话随访组(风险比,3.48;95%置信区间,2.66-4.57)的死亡风险均显著高于亲自随访的患者(P<0.001)。在对30个术前和围手术期变量进行精确匹配后,EVAR后失访组、电话随访组和亲自随访组的5年生存率分别为84.9%、84.8%和91.9%(对数秩检验,P<0.001)。值得注意的是,与亲自随访的患者相比,电话随访患者术后影像学检查记录的患病率更低(56.1%对85.1%;P<0.001)。
合并症更多且院内并发症发生率更高的EVAR患者往往更容易失访,最终生存结局更差。亲自随访与更好的EVAR后生存率和更高的术后影像学检查率相关。电话随访带来的死亡风险与未随访相当,可能是由于术后影像学检查不足所致。外科医生应向所有EVAR患者强调门诊术后随访的重要性,尤其是那些基线健康和功能状态较差以及围手术期过程更复杂的患者。