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2013 - 2016年西非埃博拉病毒病疫情的显著流行病学特征

Distinguishing epidemiological features of the 2013-2016 West Africa Ebola virus disease outbreak.

作者信息

Shultz James M, Espinel Zelde, Espinola Maria, Rechkemmer Andreas

机构信息

Center for Disaster & Extreme Event Preparedness (DEEP Center), University of Miami Miller School of Medicine , Miami, FL, USA.

Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Health, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine and Jackson Memorial Hospital , Miami, FL, USA.

出版信息

Disaster Health. 2016 Aug 25;3(3):78-88. doi: 10.1080/21665044.2016.1228326. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

The 2013-2016 West Africa Ebola virus disease epidemic was notable for its scope, scale, and complexity. This briefing presents a series of distinguishing epidemiological features that set this outbreak apart. Compared to one concurrent and 23 previous outbreaks of the disease over 40 years, this was the only occurrence of Ebola virus disease involving multiple nations and qualifying as a pandemic. Across multiple measures of magnitude, the 2013-2016 outbreak was accurately described using superlatives: largest and deadliest in terms of numbers of cases and fatalities; longest in duration; and most widely dispersed geographically, with outbreak-associated cases occurring in 10 nations. In contrast, the case-fatality rate was much lower for the 2013-2016 outbreak compared to the other 24 outbreaks. A population of particular interest for ongoing monitoring and public health surveillance is comprised of more than 17,000 "survivors," Ebola patients who successfully recovered from their illness. The daunting challenges posed by this outbreak were met by an intensive international public health response. The near-exponential rate of increase of incident Ebola cases during mid-2014 was successfully slowed, reversed, and finally halted through the application of multiple disease containment and intervention strategies.

摘要

2013 - 2016年西非埃博拉病毒病疫情因其波及范围、规模和复杂性而备受关注。本简报介绍了一系列使其有别于其他疫情的显著流行病学特征。与同时期的一次以及过去40年里的23次该疾病疫情相比,这是埃博拉病毒病唯一一次涉及多个国家并堪称大流行的情况。从多个量级指标来看,2013 - 2016年的疫情用最高级来描述恰如其分:就病例数和死亡人数而言是规模最大、致死率最高的;持续时间最长;地理分布最广,疫情相关病例出现在10个国家。相比之下,2013 - 2016年疫情的病死率远低于其他24次疫情。持续监测和公共卫生监督特别关注的人群包括17000多名“幸存者”,即从埃博拉疾病中成功康复的患者。此次疫情带来了艰巨挑战,但通过国际公共卫生的密集应对得以应对。2014年年中,新增埃博拉病例近乎呈指数增长的态势,通过采取多种疾病控制和干预策略,成功减缓、扭转并最终遏制住了这一态势。

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