College of Public Health, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Tob Control. 2018 Mar;27(2):203-208. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2016-053457. Epub 2017 Mar 4.
Increasing cigarette prices reduce cigarette use. The US Food and Drug Administration has the authority to regulate the sale and promotion-and therefore the price-of tobacco products.
To examine the potential effect of federal minimum price regulation on the sales of cigarettes in the USA.
We used yearly state-level data from the Tax Burden on Tobacco and other sources to model per capita cigarette sales as a function of price. We used the fitted model to compare the status quo sales with counterfactual scenarios in which a federal minimum price was set. The minimum price scenarios ranged from $0 to $12.
The estimated price effect in our model was comparable with that found in the literature. Our counterfactual analyses suggested that the impact of a minimum price requirement could range from a minimal effect at the $4 level to a reduction of 5.7 billion packs sold per year and 10 million smokers at the $10 level.
A federal minimum price policy has the potential to greatly benefit tobacco control and public health by uniformly increasing the price of cigarettes and by eliminating many price-reducing strategies currently available to both sellers and consumers.
提高香烟价格可减少香烟使用。美国食品和药物管理局有权监管烟草产品的销售和促销，从而控制其价格。
研究联邦最低价格监管对美国香烟销售的潜在影响。
我们使用来自税收负担烟草和其他来源的每年州级数据，根据价格建立人均香烟销售量的模型。我们使用拟合模型将现状销售与设定联邦最低价格的假设情景进行比较。最低价格情景范围从 0 美元到 12 美元。
我们模型中的估计价格效应与文献中的发现相当。我们的假设情景分析表明，最低价格要求的影响范围从 4 美元水平的最小影响到 10 美元水平每年减少 57 亿包的销售量和 1000 万烟民。
联邦最低价格政策有可能通过统一提高香烟价格并消除销售者和消费者目前可用的许多降价策略，极大地有益于烟草控制和公共卫生。
