Sun Xiubin, Zhao Deli, Liu Yi, Liu Yunxia, Yuan Zhongshang, Wang Jialin, Xue Fuzhong
Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Cancer Research Center, Feicheng People's Hospital (Tumor Preventative and Therapeutic Base of Shandong Province), Feicheng, Shandong Province, China.
PLoS One. 2017 Mar 7;12(3):e0173211. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0173211. eCollection 2017.
Feicheng County is a high-risk area for esophageal cancer in Shandong province, China. It is important to determine the long-term spatio-temporal trends in epidemiological characteristics and the burden of esophageal cancer, especially since the implementation of the national esophageal cancer screening program for early detection and treatment in 2005.
The data collected in Feicheng County from 2001 to 2012 was extracted from the whole-population cancer registry system. The incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALY) and changing trends in esophageal cancer according to age and sex were calculated and described.
The incidence rate of esophageal cancer in Feicheng was consistently high, and increased significantly for male, but not for female from 2001 to 2012, according to the joinpoint regression analysis. The highest and lowest yearly crude incidence rates were 160.78 and 95.97 per 100000 for males, and 81.36 and 52.17 per 100000 for females. The highest and lowest crude yearly mortality rates were 122.26 and 94.40 per 100000 for males, and 60.75 and 49.35 per 100000for females. Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma was the main pathology type and the tumor location changed significantly from 2001 to 2012. Overall, the DALY remained roughly stable and was estimated as 11.50 for males and 4.90 for females per 1000 people. The burden was mainly caused by premature death. There is an obvious spatial pattern in the distribution of incidence density and burden.
Esophageal cancer remains a public health issue in Feicheng County with a high incidence, mortality and disease burden. The incidence and burden have obvious spatial heterogeneity, and further studies should be conducted to identify geographical risk factors for precise local prevention and control measures.
肥城是中国山东省食管癌高发地区。确定食管癌流行病学特征和负担的长期时空趋势非常重要,特别是自2005年实施国家食管癌筛查计划以进行早期检测和治疗以来。
从全人群癌症登记系统中提取2001年至2012年在肥城县收集的数据。计算并描述了食管癌按年龄和性别的发病率、死亡率、伤残调整生命年(DALY)及变化趋势。
根据Joinpoint回归分析,肥城食管癌发病率一直居高不下,2001年至2012年男性发病率显著上升,女性则无明显变化。男性年度粗发病率最高和最低分别为每10万人160.78例和95.97例,女性为每10万人81.36例和52.17例。男性年度粗死亡率最高和最低分别为每10万人122.26例和94.40例,女性为每10万人60.75例和49.35例。食管鳞状细胞癌是主要病理类型,2001年至2012年肿瘤部位变化显著。总体而言,DALY大致保持稳定,估计男性每1000人中有11.50个,女性有4.90个。负担主要由过早死亡引起。发病密度和负担分布存在明显的空间格局。
食管癌在肥城县仍然是一个公共卫生问题,发病率、死亡率和疾病负担都很高。发病率和负担具有明显的空间异质性,应进一步开展研究以确定地理风险因素,从而采取精准的局部预防和控制措施。