Moolgavkar S H, Stevens R G, Lee J A
J Natl Cancer Inst. 1979 Mar;62(3):493-501. doi: 10.1093/jnci/62.3.493.
Incidence and mortality data on breast cancer in females from various Occidental (Western) and Japanese populations were analyzed. After adjustment for birth cohort and year of event, the age curves from all the Western populations were very similar in shape. The age curve for Osaka incidence was very similar in shape to the Western incidence curves. The Osaka curve continued to increase after menopause; the postmenopausal decrease in rates in individual cross sections was the result of a strong cohort effect. The premenopausal mortality curve for Japan was very similar in shape to the Western curves; however, the postmenopausal Japanese mortality curve had a smaller slope at each point.
对来自不同西方(欧美)和日本人群的女性乳腺癌发病率和死亡率数据进行了分析。在对出生队列和事件发生年份进行调整后,所有西方人群的年龄曲线在形状上非常相似。大阪地区的发病率年龄曲线在形状上与西方的发病率曲线非常相似。大阪地区的曲线在绝经后继续上升;各个横断面中绝经后发病率的下降是强烈队列效应的结果。日本绝经前的死亡率曲线在形状上与西方的曲线非常相似;然而,日本绝经后的死亡率曲线在每个点的斜率较小。