Tonin Fernanda S, Rotta Inajara, Mendes Antonio M, Pontarolo Roberto
MSc. (Pharm). Pharmaceutical Sciences Postgraduate Programme, Federal University of Paraná. Curitiba (Brazil).
PhD. Pharmacy Service, Hospital de Clínicas, Federal University of Paraná. Curitiba (Brazil).
Pharm Pract (Granada). 2017 Jan-Mar;15(1):943. doi: 10.18549/PharmPract.2017.01.943. Epub 2017 Mar 15.
Systematic reviews and pairwise meta-analyses of randomized controlled trials, at the intersection of clinical medicine, epidemiology and statistics, are positioned at the top of evidence-based practice hierarchy. These are important tools to base drugs approval, clinical protocols and guidelines formulation and for decision-making. However, this traditional technique only partially yield information that clinicians, patients and policy-makers need to make informed decisions, since it usually compares only two interventions at the time. In the market, regardless the clinical condition under evaluation, usually many interventions are available and few of them have been studied in head-to-head studies. This scenario precludes conclusions to be drawn from comparisons of all interventions profile (e.g. efficacy and safety). The recent development and introduction of a new technique - usually referred as network meta-analysis, indirect meta-analysis, multiple or mixed treatment comparisons - has allowed the estimation of metrics for all possible comparisons in the same model, simultaneously gathering direct and indirect evidence. Over the last years this statistical tool has matured as technique with models available for all types of raw data, producing different pooled effect measures, using both Frequentist and Bayesian frameworks, with different software packages. However, the conduction, report and interpretation of network meta-analysis still poses multiple challenges that should be carefully considered, especially because this technique inherits all assumptions from pairwise meta-analysis but with increased complexity. Thus, we aim to provide a basic explanation of network meta-analysis conduction, highlighting its risks and benefits for evidence-based practice, including information on statistical methods evolution, assumptions and steps for performing the analysis.
随机对照试验的系统评价和成对荟萃分析处于临床医学、流行病学和统计学的交叉点,位于循证实践等级体系的顶端。这些是药物批准、临床方案和指南制定以及决策的重要依据。然而,这种传统技术只能部分提供临床医生、患者和政策制定者做出明智决策所需的信息,因为它通常一次只比较两种干预措施。在市场上,无论所评估的临床状况如何,通常都有多种干预措施可供选择,而其中很少有在头对头研究中进行过研究。这种情况使得无法从所有干预措施的特征(如疗效和安全性)比较中得出结论。最近一种新技术的发展和引入——通常被称为网状荟萃分析、间接荟萃分析、多重或混合治疗比较——使得能够在同一模型中估计所有可能比较的指标,同时收集直接和间接证据。在过去几年中,这种统计工具已经发展成熟,有适用于所有类型原始数据的模型,使用频率学派和贝叶斯框架,通过不同的软件包产生不同的合并效应量度。然而,网状荟萃分析的实施、报告和解释仍然面临多重挑战,需要仔细考虑,特别是因为这种技术继承了成对荟萃分析的所有假设,但复杂性增加了。因此,我们旨在对网状荟萃分析的实施进行基本解释,强调其对循证实践的风险和益处,包括统计方法的演变、假设以及进行分析的步骤等信息。