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加拿大国家乳腺筛查研究存在缺陷,其结果不可靠。它们不应在有关乳腺癌筛查的决策中起作用。

The Canadian National Breast Screening Studies are compromised and their results are unreliable. They should not factor into decisions about breast cancer screening.

作者信息

Kopans Daniel B

机构信息

Breast Imaging Division, Radiology, Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.

, 20 Manitoba Road, Waban, MA, 02468, USA.

出版信息

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2017 Aug;165(1):9-15. doi: 10.1007/s10549-017-4302-9. Epub 2017 May 20.

Abstract

The Canadian National Breast Screening Studies were compromised by an unblinded allocation process and poor quality mammography. Contrary to the requirement that allocation in a randomized controlled trial (RCT) be blinded to avoid any possible intentional or unintentional subversion of a random allocation, all women in the CNBSS trials underwent a clinical breast examination prior to assignment to the study arm or the usual care arm. Women with abnormal clinical breast examinations were identified, and this information was available to the coordinators who then assigned the women on open lists. It was, therefore, possible to assign women to whichever arm the coordinator chose. Although subversion was likely unintended, a significant number of women with four or more positive axillary lymph nodes were assigned to the screening arm of CNBSS1. This explains why there were more breast cancer deaths among the screened women in the first ten years of the trial and why the 5 year survival of the control women was better than 90% when the background survival in Canada at the time was only 75%. The trials were further compromised by the poor quality of the mammography which was confirmed by a review conducted by the trials' organizers. These fundamental problems compromise the CNBSS and make their results, which are major outliers in the RCT's of breast cancer screening, unreliable. Consequently, they should not be used to establish guidelines for breast cancer screening.

摘要

加拿大国家乳腺筛查研究因分配过程未设盲和乳房X线摄影质量差而受到影响。与随机对照试验(RCT)中分配应设盲以避免随机分配出现任何有意或无意的破坏这一要求相反,加拿大国家乳腺筛查研究试验中的所有女性在被分配到研究组或常规护理组之前都接受了临床乳腺检查。临床乳腺检查异常的女性被识别出来,并且协调员可以获取此信息,然后协调员在公开名单上对女性进行分配。因此,协调员有可能将女性分配到其选择的任何一组。尽管这种破坏可能并非故意,但大量有四个或更多阳性腋窝淋巴结的女性被分配到了加拿大国家乳腺筛查研究1的筛查组。这就解释了为什么在试验的头十年中,接受筛查的女性中有更多的乳腺癌死亡病例,以及为什么对照组女性的5年生存率高于90%,而当时加拿大的总体生存率仅为75%。试验组织者进行的一项审查证实,乳房X线摄影质量差进一步影响了这些试验。这些根本性问题损害了加拿大国家乳腺筛查研究的可信度,使其结果(在乳腺癌筛查的随机对照试验中是主要的异常值)不可靠。因此,它们不应用于制定乳腺癌筛查指南。

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