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智慧试验的推理是错误的,存在重大设计和执行问题。

The wisdom trial is based on faulty reasoning and has major design and execution problems.

机构信息

Radiology, Harvard Medical School, 20 Manitoba Road, Waban, MA, 02468, USA.

出版信息

Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2021 Feb;185(3):549-556. doi: 10.1007/s10549-020-06020-7. Epub 2020 Nov 25.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To evaluate the design and plan of execution of the "WISDOM" trial.

METHODS

The rationale and reasoning behind the WISDOM Trial were reviewed and analyzed. The published parameters of the trial were reviewed.

RESULTS

The study is based on a failed understanding of the available data about breast cancer screening and is based on faulty assumptions, false reasoning, a scientifically unsupportable study design, ignoring advances in screening, a questionable endpoint, the likely lacking of power to answer the primary question, and support by insurance companies whose primary goal is almost certainly to reduce their costs.

CONCLUSION

A major part of the premise is that there is a "debate" about the efficacy of screening. WISDOM ignores the fact that the "debate" has been manufactured and is not science-based. The results of the WISDOM Trial may be misleading.

摘要

目的

评估“WISDOM”试验的设计和执行计划。

方法

回顾和分析了 WISDOM 试验的基本原理和推理。审查了试验的已公布参数。

结果

该研究基于对乳腺癌筛查现有数据的错误理解,并且基于错误的假设、错误的推理、科学上不可支持的研究设计、忽略了筛查的进展、有问题的终点、可能缺乏回答主要问题的能力,以及保险公司的支持,其主要目标几乎肯定是降低成本。

结论

前提的一个主要部分是关于筛查效果的“争论”。WISDOM 忽略了这样一个事实,即“争论”是人为制造的,不是基于科学的。WISDOM 试验的结果可能会产生误导。

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