Mukai Tomoya, Hosomi Naohisa, Tsunematsu Miwako, Sueda Yoshimasa, Shimoe Yutaka, Ohshita Tomohiko, Torii Tsuyoshi, Aoki Shiro, Nezu Tomohisa, Maruyama Hirofumi, Kakehashi Masayuki, Matsumoto Masayasu
Department of Clinical Neuroscience and Therapeutics, Hiroshima University Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan.
Department of Health Informatics, Hiroshima University Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan.
PLoS One. 2017 Jun 2;12(6):e0178223. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0178223. eCollection 2017.
We hypothesized that meteorological conditions on the onset day and conditions on the former days may play important roles in the modulation of physical conditions. Associations of meteorological factors and their changes in former days with stroke onset are of interest. We conducted a multicenter retrospective study to evaluate the frequency of stroke events and their interaction with meteorological conditions and their daily changes. Acute stroke patients (n = 3935, 73.5±12.4 years, 1610 females) who were admitted to 7 stroke hospitals in three restricted areas were enrolled in this study. Poisson regression models involving time-lag variables was used to compare daily rates of stroke events with mean thermo-hydrological index (THI), atmospheric pressure, and their daily changes. We divided onset days into quintiles based on the THI, atmospheric pressure, and their daily changes for the last 7 days. The frequencies of ischemic stroke significantly increased when THI varied either cooler or warmer from a previous day (extremely cooler, risk ratio (RR) 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05 to 1.34; extremely warmer, RR 1.16, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.31; r2 = 0.001 for the best regression, p = 0.001). Intracerebral hemorrhage frequencies significantly decreased on high-THI days (extremely high, RR 0.72, 95% CI 0.54 to 0.95; r2 = 0.013 for the best regression, p<0.001) and increased in high atmospheric pressure days (high, RR 1.31, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.65; r2 = 0.009 for the best regression, p<0.001). Additionally, even after adjusting for the THI on the onset day and its changes for the other days, intracerebral hemorrhage increased when THI got extremely cooler in 4 days prior (RR 1.33, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.71, r2 = 0.006 for the best regression, p<0.001). Various meteorological conditions may exhibit influences on stroke onset. And, when temperature cooled, there may be a possibility to show delayed influence on the frequency of intracerebral hemorrhage 4 days later.
我们假设发病当天的气象条件以及前几日的气象条件可能在身体状况的调节中发挥重要作用。气象因素及其前几日的变化与中风发病之间的关联备受关注。我们开展了一项多中心回顾性研究,以评估中风事件的发生频率及其与气象条件及其每日变化的相互作用。本研究纳入了在三个特定区域的7家中风医院收治的急性中风患者(n = 3935,年龄73.5±12.4岁,女性1610名)。使用涉及时间滞后变量的泊松回归模型,将中风事件的每日发生率与平均热湿指数(THI)、大气压力及其每日变化进行比较。我们根据过去7天的THI、大气压力及其每日变化,将发病日分为五等份。当THI较前一日变凉或变暖时,缺血性中风的发生频率显著增加(极凉时,风险比(RR)为1.19,95%置信区间(CI)为1.05至1.34;极暖时,RR为1.16,95%CI为1.03至1.31;最佳回归的r2 = 0.001,p = 0.001)。在THI较高的日子里,脑出血的发生频率显著降低(极高时,RR为0.72,95%CI为0.54至0.95;最佳回归的r2 = 0.013,p<0.001),而在大气压力较高的日子里则增加(高时,RR为1.31,95%CI为1.04至1.65;最佳回归的r2 = 0.009,p<0.001)。此外,即使在对发病当天的THI及其其他日子的变化进行调整后,当THI在发病前4天变得极凉时,脑出血仍会增加(RR为1.33,95%CI为1.03至1.71,最佳回归的r2 = 0.006,p<0.001)。各种气象条件可能对中风发病产生影响。而且,当温度下降时,可能会在4天后对脑出血的发生频率产生延迟影响。