Ghalehkhondabi Iman, Ardjmand Ehsan, Young William A, Weckman Gary R
Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Russ College of Engineering and Technology, Ohio University, Athens, OH, 45701, USA.
Department of Management, College of Business, Frostburg State University, Frostburg, MD, 21532, USA.
Environ Monit Assess. 2017 Jul;189(7):313. doi: 10.1007/s10661-017-6030-3. Epub 2017 Jun 6.
Demand forecasting plays a vital role in resource management for governments and private companies. Considering the scarcity of water and its inherent constraints, demand management and forecasting in this domain are critically important. Several soft computing techniques have been developed over the last few decades for water demand forecasting. This study focuses on soft computing methods of water consumption forecasting published between 2005 and 2015. These methods include artificial neural networks (ANNs), fuzzy and neuro-fuzzy models, support vector machines, metaheuristics, and system dynamics. Furthermore, it was discussed that while in short-term forecasting, ANNs have been superior in many cases, but it is still very difficult to pick a single method as the overall best. According to the literature, various methods and their hybrids are applied to water demand forecasting. However, it seems soft computing has a lot more to contribute to water demand forecasting. These contribution areas include, but are not limited, to various ANN architectures, unsupervised methods, deep learning, various metaheuristics, and ensemble methods. Moreover, it is found that soft computing methods are mainly used for short-term demand forecasting.
需求预测在政府和私营公司的资源管理中起着至关重要的作用。考虑到水资源的稀缺性及其固有的限制,该领域的需求管理和预测至关重要。在过去几十年中,已经开发了几种软计算技术用于水资源需求预测。本研究重点关注2005年至2015年间发表的水资源消费预测软计算方法。这些方法包括人工神经网络(ANN)、模糊和神经模糊模型、支持向量机、元启发式算法和系统动力学。此外,讨论了虽然在短期预测中,人工神经网络在许多情况下表现出色,但仍然很难选择一种单一方法作为总体最佳方法。根据文献,各种方法及其混合方法被应用于水资源需求预测。然而,软计算似乎在水资源需求预测方面还有更多贡献。这些贡献领域包括但不限于各种人工神经网络架构、无监督方法、深度学习、各种元启发式算法和集成方法。此外,发现软计算方法主要用于短期需求预测。