Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis.
Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2018 Sep 11;73(10):1343-1349. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glx128.
This study examines effects of mobility and multimorbidity on hospitalization and inpatient and postacute care (PAC) facility days among older men.
Prospective study of 1,701 men (mean age 79.3 years) participating in Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study Year 7 (Y7) examination (2007-2008) linked with their Medicare claims. At Y7, mobility ascertained by usual gait speed and categorized as poor, intermediate, or good. Multimorbidity quantified by applying Elixhauser algorithm to inpatient and outpatient claims and categorized as none, mild-moderate, or high. Hospitalizations and PAC facility stays ascertained during 12 months following Y7.
Reduced mobility and greater multimorbidity burden were independently associated with a higher risk of inpatient and PAC facility utilization, after accounting for each other and traditional indicators. Adjusted mean total facility days per year were 1.13 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.74-1.40) among men with good mobility increasing to 2.43 (95% CI = 1.17-3.84) among men with poor mobility, and 0.67 (95% CI = 0.38-0.91) among men without multimorbidity increasing to 2.70 (95% CI = 1.58-3.77) among men with high multimorbidity. Men with poor mobility and high multimorbidity had a ninefold increase in mean total facility days per year (5.50, 95% CI = 2.78-10.87) compared with men with good mobility without multimorbidity (0.59, 95% CI = 0.37-0.95).
Among older men, mobility limitations and multimorbidity were independent predictors of higher inpatient and PAC utilization after considering each other and conventional predictors. Marked combined effects of reduced mobility and multimorbidity burden may be important to consider in clinical decision-making and planning health care delivery strategies for the growing aged population.
本研究考察了活动能力和多病共存对老年男性住院和住院后及康复期护理机构(PAC)入住天数的影响。
本前瞻性研究纳入了 1701 名男性(平均年龄 79.3 岁),他们参加了男性骨质疏松性骨折研究(MrOS)第七年(Y7)的检查(2007-2008 年),并与他们的医疗保险索赔数据相关联。在 Y7 时,通过惯用步行速度来确定活动能力,并分为差、中、好三个等级。多病共存通过应用住院和门诊索赔的 Elixhauser 算法来量化,并分为无、轻度-中度和高度三种类型。在 Y7 后的 12 个月内确定住院和 PAC 机构入住情况。
在考虑了彼此和传统指标后,活动能力下降和多病共存负担增加与更高的住院和 PAC 机构利用风险独立相关。调整后的每年总机构天数的平均差值为:活动能力良好的男性为 1.13(95%置信区间[CI] = 0.74-1.40),活动能力差的男性为 2.43(95% CI = 1.17-3.84);无多病共存的男性为 0.67(95% CI = 0.38-0.91),多病共存的男性为 2.70(95% CI = 1.58-3.77)。活动能力差和多病共存的男性每年的总机构天数平均增加了 9 倍(5.50,95% CI = 2.78-10.87),而活动能力良好且无多病共存的男性每年的总机构天数平均仅增加了 1.79(95% CI = 0.59-2.78)。
在老年男性中,在考虑彼此和传统预测因素后,活动能力受限和多病共存是更高的住院和 PAC 利用的独立预测因素。活动能力下降和多病共存负担的显著联合效应可能对临床决策和为不断增长的老年人口规划医疗保健策略具有重要意义。