From the aHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA; bDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA; cDepartment of Pathology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA; and dDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA.
Epidemiology. 2017 Sep;28(5):728-734. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000000703.
Sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) is a leading cause of infant mortality in the United States. While thermal stress is implicated in many risk factors for SIDS, the association between ambient temperature and SIDS remains unclear.
We obtained daily individual-level infant mortality data and outdoor temperature data from 1972 to 2006 for 210 US cities. We applied a time-stratified case-crossover analysis to determine the effect of ambient temperature on the risk of SIDS by season. We stratified the analysis by race, infant age, and climate.
There were a total of 60,364 SIDS cases during our study period. A 5.6°C (10°F) higher daily temperature on the same day was associated with an increased SIDS risk of 8.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.6%, 13.8%) in the summer, compared with a 3.1% decrease (95% CI = -5.0%, -1.3%) in the winter. Summer risks were greater among black infants (18.5%; 95% CI = 9.3%, 28.5%) than white infants (3.6%; 95% CI = -2.3%, 9.9%), and among infants 3-11 months old (16.9%; 95% CI = 8.9%, 25.5%) than infants 0-2 months old (2.7%; 95% CI = -3.5%, 9.2%). The temperature-SIDS association was stronger in climate clusters in the Midwest and surrounding northern regions.
Temperature increases were associated with an elevated risk of SIDS in the summer, particularly among infants who were black, 3 months old and older, and living in the Midwest and surrounding northern regions.
婴儿猝死综合征(SIDS)是美国婴儿死亡的主要原因。尽管热应激与 SIDS 的许多风险因素有关,但环境温度与 SIDS 之间的关联尚不清楚。
我们从 1972 年至 2006 年获得了美国 210 个城市的每日婴儿死亡率数据和室外温度数据。我们应用时间分层病例交叉分析方法,按季节确定环境温度对 SIDS 风险的影响。我们按种族、婴儿年龄和气候对分析进行分层。
在我们的研究期间,共有 60364 例 SIDS 病例。与冬季相比,夏季当日温度升高 5.6°C(10°F),SIDS 风险增加 8.6%(95%置信区间[CI]为 3.6%,13.8%);当日温度降低 3.1°C(95%CI=-5.0%,-1.3%),SIDS 风险降低 3.1%(95%CI=-5.0%,-1.3%)。与白人婴儿相比,黑人婴儿的夏季风险更高(18.5%;95%CI=9.3%,28.5%);与 0-2 个月大的婴儿相比,3-11 个月大的婴儿的夏季风险更高(16.9%;95%CI=8.9%,25.5%)。在中西部和周边北部地区的气候群中,温度-SIDS 关联更强。
夏季温度升高与 SIDS 风险增加相关,特别是对于黑皮肤、3 个月以上且生活在中西部和周边北部地区的婴儿而言。