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全市范围内的高载客车辆限制的影响:来自雅加达“三合一”的证据。

Citywide effects of high-occupancy vehicle restrictions: Evidence from "three-in-one" in Jakarta.

机构信息

Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University, 79 John F. Kennedy Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.

Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 50 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.

出版信息

Science. 2017 Jul 7;357(6346):89-93. doi: 10.1126/science.aan2747.

Abstract

Widespread use of single-occupancy cars often leads to traffic congestion. Using anonymized traffic speed data from Android phones collected through Google Maps, we investigated whether high-occupancy vehicle (HOV) policies can combat congestion. We studied Jakarta's "three-in-one" policy, which required all private cars on two major roads to carry at least three passengers during peak hours. After the policy was abruptly abandoned in April 2016, delays rose from 2.1 to 3.1 minutes per kilometer (min/km) in the morning peak and from 2.8 to 5.3 min/km in the evening peak. The lifting of the policy led to worse traffic throughout the city, even on roads that had never been restricted or at times when restrictions had never been in place. In short, we find that HOV policies can greatly improve traffic conditions.

摘要

私家车的广泛使用往往会导致交通拥堵。我们利用谷歌地图(Google Maps)收集的匿名 Android 手机交通速度数据,研究了拼车出行(HOV)政策是否可以缓解拥堵。我们研究了雅加达的“三并一”政策,该政策要求两条主要道路上的所有私家车在高峰时段至少搭载三名乘客。2016 年 4 月该政策突然被取消后,早晚高峰的通勤时间从每公里 2.1 分钟增加到 3.1 分钟,从 2.8 分钟增加到 5.3 分钟。该政策的取消导致整个城市的交通状况恶化,即使是在从未受限的道路上,或者在没有实施限制的时候也是如此。简而言之,我们发现 HOV 政策可以极大地改善交通状况。

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