Davis Jason
Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, 123 West Franklin Street, Chapel Hill, NC 27516-2524, USA.
Popul Environ. 2017 Jun;38(4):448-464. doi: 10.1007/s11111-017-0271-5. Epub 2017 Feb 13.
This investigation evaluates the effect of Hurricane Mitch on women's reproductive outcomes throughout Nicaragua. This research aim is achieved by analyzing a unique Nicaraguan Living Standards Measurement Study panel dataset that tracks women's fertility immediately before and at two time points after Hurricane Mitch, combined with satellite-derived municipality-level precipitation data for the 10-day storm period. Results show higher odds of post-disaster fertility in municipalities receiving higher precipitation levels in the immediate post-Hurricane Mitch period. However, fertility normalizes between disaster and non-disaster areas four to six years after the storm. These findings suggest that the disruptive effects of a natural disaster such as Hurricane Mitch can have an initial stimulative effect on fertility but the effect is ephemeral.
本调查评估了米奇飓风对尼加拉瓜各地妇女生殖结局的影响。这一研究目标是通过分析一个独特的尼加拉瓜生活水平测量研究面板数据集来实现的，该数据集追踪了米奇飓风来临之前以及之后两个时间点的妇女生育情况，并结合了卫星获取的10天风暴期内各市镇的降水数据。结果显示，在米奇飓风过后的短期内，降水水平较高的市镇灾后生育几率更高。然而，在风暴过后四到六年，受灾地区和非受灾地区的生育率恢复正常。这些发现表明，像米奇飓风这样的自然灾害所产生的破坏作用可能会对生育率产生初步的刺激作用，但这种作用是短暂的。
