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选择不生育?意大利和英国男女生育意愿的比较研究。

Choosing to Remain Childless? A Comparative Study of Fertility Intentions Among Women and Men in Italy and Britain.

作者信息

Fiori Francesca, Rinesi Francesca, Graham Elspeth

机构信息

ESRC Centre for Population Change, University of St Andrews (UK), Ladywell House, Ladywell Road, Edinburgh, EH12 7TF UK.

ISTAT, Italian National Institute of Statistics, Viale Liegi 13, 00198 Rome, Italy.

出版信息

Eur J Popul. 2017;33(3):319-350. doi: 10.1007/s10680-016-9404-2. Epub 2017 Feb 3.

Abstract

Pathways to childlessness may differ not only between individuals but also at the population level. This paper investigates differences in childlessness by comparing two countries-Britain and Italy-where levels of childlessness are high in comparison with many other European countries, but which have distinct fertility trajectories and family regimes. Using data from two large, representative national samples of women and men of reproductive age in a co-residential partnership, it presents a rich analysis of the characteristics associated with intended childlessness, net of the aspects associated with being childless at interview. Although childlessness intentions are generally comparable between men and women of the same age, results show a link between socio-economic disadvantage and childlessness for British men as well as the importance of men's employment for childbearing decisions in Italy. These findings support the view that pathways into childlessness are gendered and highlight the importance of partnership context in the understanding of fertility intentions. Then, the level of childlessness at interview is comparable across the two countries. However, a higher proportion of respondents in Italy is only provisionally childless, whereas a larger proportion of British respondents intends to remain childless. Framing these differences in fertility intentions within the wider context of family and fertility regimes allows insight into the extent to which observed levels of lifetime childlessness at the population level might result from a specific combination of intended childlessness, postponed decisions leading to involuntary childlessness, or constraints affecting abilities to achieve intentions at the individual level.

摘要

导致无子女的途径不仅在个体之间存在差异,在人口层面也有所不同。本文通过比较英国和意大利这两个国家来研究无子女情况的差异。与许多其他欧洲国家相比,这两个国家的无子女水平较高,但它们有着不同的生育轨迹和家庭模式。利用来自两个具有代表性的全国性样本数据,样本涵盖处于同居伴侣关系中的育龄男女,本文对与有意无子女相关的特征进行了详尽分析,排除了访谈时已无子女这一情况的相关因素。尽管同龄男女的无子女意愿总体相当,但结果显示,社会经济劣势与英国男性的无子女情况存在关联,同时也凸显了意大利男性就业对生育决策的重要性。这些发现支持了这样一种观点,即无子女的途径存在性别差异,并强调了伴侣关系背景在理解生育意愿方面的重要性。此外,访谈时的无子女水平在这两个国家相当。然而,意大利有较高比例的受访者只是暂时无子女,而英国有较大比例的受访者打算一直无子女。将这些生育意愿的差异置于更广泛的家庭和生育模式背景下进行考量,有助于深入了解在人口层面观察到的终生无子女水平在多大程度上可能是由有意无子女、导致非自愿无子女的生育决定推迟,或影响个体实现生育意愿能力的限制因素等特定组合所导致的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/46c7/6241107/5b1b43ad2ba1/10680_2016_9404_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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