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最近在喜马拉雅山脉西北和喀喇昆仑山脉的湿润和冰川扩张。

Recent Wetting and Glacier Expansion in the Northwest Himalaya and Karakoram.

机构信息

Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun, India.

Department of Geology & Geophysics, Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur, India.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2017 Jul 21;7(1):6139. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-06388-5.

Abstract

Hydroclimatic variability driven by global warming in the climatically vulnerable cold semi-arid to arid northwest (NW) Himalaya is poorly constrained due to paucity of continuous weather records and annually resolved proxies. Applying a network of annually resolved tree-ring-width chronologies from semi-arid region of Kishtwar, Jammu and Kashmir, India, we reconstructed April-May standardized precipitation index extending back to A.D. 1439 (576 years). The reconstructed series is featured by the most conspicuous long-term droughts during the 15 to early 17 centuries followed by a general wetting, with 1984-2014 being the wettest interval in the past 576 years. The data, consistent with other independently developed tree-ring-based hydrological records from cold semi-arid to arid NW Himalaya and Karakoram, point to an increased regional wetting in the recent decades. Such an increased wetting might have led to the anomalous behaviour of glaciers in the NW Himalaya and Karakoram in contrast to the general receding trends in the central and eastern Himalaya.

摘要

由于缺乏连续的气象记录和年度分辨率的代理数据,受全球变暖驱动的喜马拉雅山西北部(NW)气候脆弱的冷半干旱到干旱地区的水文气候变异性研究受到很大限制。本研究利用来自印度查谟和克什米尔的基什瓦尔半干旱地区的年度分辨率树木年轮宽度年表网络,重建了可追溯到公元 1439 年(576 年)的 4 月至 5 月标准化降水指数。重建系列的特点是在 15 世纪到 17 世纪早期出现了最显著的长期干旱,随后是普遍湿润期,1984-2014 年是过去 576 年中最湿润的时期。与来自冷半干旱到干旱的喜马拉雅山西北部和喀喇昆仑的其他独立开发的基于树木年轮的水文记录一致,这些数据表明近几十年来该地区的湿润程度有所增加。这种湿润程度的增加可能导致了喜马拉雅山西北部和喀喇昆仑地区的冰川异常行为,与喜马拉雅山中部和东部的普遍退缩趋势形成对比。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1c42/5522409/c480e64a2d77/41598_2017_6388_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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